POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
11.09.2026 18:30
Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana

Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 41.6%
Odds 2.80
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.54
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
41.6%
2.80
BTTS Yes
86%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.54
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.1%
1.20
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Wisla Krakow Win 41.6%
Draw 16.8%
Jagiellonia Win 41.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wisla Krakow1.39
Jagiellonia1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow
WWDLW
32 GF / 25 GA
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
WLDWL
34 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
11
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
11
5.29
Shots on Goal
4.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 19 matches
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 19 matches
Wisla Krakow Statistic Jagiellonia
6 Wins 13
7 Draws 3
6 Losses 3
32 Goals For 34
25 Goals Against 18
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
11 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 2
5.29 Shots On Goal 4.7
17.29 Total Shots 8.3
5.29 Corners 3.4
53.1% Ball Possession 45.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wisla Krakow expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Jagiellonia in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Jagiellonia having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Jagiellonia.

Wisla Krakow Analysis

Wisla Krakow arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 10 points after 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 12:10 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Jordi Sánchez (4 goals), Marko Božić (1 goals), Ángel Rodado (1 goals), with creative support from Alan Uryga (1 assists), Julius Ertlthaler (1 assists), Raoul Giger (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Jagiellonia Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Jagiellonia have collected 9 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, while the 9:7 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nik Prelec (2 goals), Guilherme Montóia (1 goals), Jesús Imaz (1 goals), with creative support from Nik Prelec (1 assists), Kajetan Szmyt (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Wisla Krakow won 2 times, Jagiellonia won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:11 from Wisla Krakow's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: Wisla Krakow 4-2-3-1 / Jagiellonia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Wisla Krakow wins 2, draws 3, Jagiellonia wins 4

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 11:4 7 16
W W W W W
2 7 4 3 0 15:6 9 15
W D D W D
3 6 5 0 1 12:7 5 15
W W L W W
4 6 4 0 2 11:8 3 12
W L W L W
5 7 3 2 2 13:11 2 11
D W D L W
6 7 3 1 3 13:13 0 10
W W D L L
7 6 3 0 3 12:9 3 9
L W W L W
8 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D D D W W
9 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W D W D
10 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D D D W L
11 7 2 2 3 6:8 -2 8
L L W W D
12 7 2 2 3 6:13 -7 8
D W D L L
13 7 1 4 2 10:10 0 7
D L D L W
14 7 1 3 3 9:11 -2 6
L D D L D
15 7 1 2 4 8:13 -5 5
L L D W L
16 6 1 2 3 4:11 -7 5
D L L L D
17 6 1 1 4 9:13 -4 4
D L L W L
18 6 0 0 6 6:14 -8 0
L L L L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation