ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
16.08.2026 12:30
Vicarage Road
Referee: Matt Donohue, England
Watford
Match Timeline
Southampton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Hector Kyprianou
Watford
12'
I. Bravo
Watford
🟨
13'
Matthew Pollock
Watford
🟨
14'
Cyle Larin
Southampton
🟨
18'
James Bree
Southampton
🔄
24'
M. Bola ↔ J. Zemura
Watford
29'
A. Nabizada
Watford
🟨
43'
Amin Nabizada
Watford
56'
C. Larin · Assist: C. Bragg
Southampton
🔄
57'
L. Dobbin ↔ F. Azaz
Southampton
🔄
61'
I. Bravo ↔ M. Payero
Watford
🔄
61'
E. Bove ↔ E. Kayembe
Watford
🔄
61'
A. Nabizada ↔ M. Adu Poku
Watford
🔄
70'
C. Bragg ↔ S. Edozie
Southampton
🔄
70'
C. Larin ↔ D. Mubama
Southampton
🟨
72'
Mamadou Doumbia
Watford
🟨
74'
Othmane Maamma
Watford
🟨
74'
Flynn Downes
Southampton
🔄
77'
O. Maamma ↔ R. Vata
Watford
🟨
84'
Martín Payero
Watford
🔄
89'
K. Matsuki ↔ B. Brereton Diaz
Southampton

Watford vs Southampton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.8%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 29.4%
Draw 4.8%
Southampton Win 65.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.17
Southampton1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
6 GF / 5 GA
Southampton Southampton
WLDWL
6 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 4 matches
Southampton Southampton 3 matches
Watford Statistic Southampton
1 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 0
6 Goals For 6
5 Goals Against 2
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 2 times, Southampton won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:22 from Watford's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Watford 4-2-3-1 / Southampton 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Watford 1, Southampton 0
H2H summary: Watford wins 2, draws 6, Southampton wins 7

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 9:6 3 13
W W D L W
2 6 3 2 1 14:9 5 11
W W W D L
3 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L D W W D
4 6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
D L W W D
5 6 3 2 1 6:7 -1 11
D L D W W
6 5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
W D W L W
7 5 3 1 1 9:7 2 10
W W W D L
8 5 3 0 2 10:8 2 9
W L L W W
9 6 3 0 3 10:9 1 9
W W L W L
10 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
W L W D D
11 5 2 2 1 13:10 3 8
D L W W D
12 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
W L L D D
13 6 3 2 1 14:7 7 7
W D D W W
14 6 1 4 1 7:5 2 7
D D W L D
15 6 1 4 1 8:8 0 7
L D D W D
16 6 2 1 3 9:10 -1 7
D W W L L
17 5 2 0 3 7:8 -1 6
W L L W L
18 6 1 2 3 7:9 -2 5
L L D L W
19 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
D D W L L
20 6 0 4 2 7:10 -3 4
D L L D D
21 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L L D
22 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L L W L D
23 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
D L D L L
24 6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L W L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One