Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
1.15 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
2.20 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.40 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
70.8%
|
1.70 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.53 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sport Recife
26 matches
Ponte Preta
26 matches
| Sport Recife | Statistic | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 2 |
| 11 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 20 |
| 34 | Goals For | 16 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.62 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.08 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 4.23 | Shots On Goal | 3.23 |
| 13.96 | Total Shots | 10.46 |
| 4.88 | Corners | 4.62 |
| 54.3% | Ball Possession | 42.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Sport Recife's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ponte Preta. Ponte Preta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Sport Recife arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 38 points compared to Ponte Preta in 20 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Ponte Preta in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ponte Preta having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Sport Recife are currently 8 in the standings with 38 points from 25 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 33:24 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Perotti (7 goals), Chrystian Barletta (6 goals), Biel Fonseca (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel Fonseca (3 assists), Carlos De Pena (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Ponte Preta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 10 points from 25 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 19 defeats with a 16:52 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Elvis (2 goals), Brandão (2 goals), William Pottker (2 goals), with creative support from Elvis (3 assists), Diego Tavares (3 assists), Brandão (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 7 times, Ponte Preta won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:18 from Sport Recife's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 48 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 |
Sport Recife
Home
|
29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 28 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Away
|
28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16:62 | -46 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|