Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.8%
|
1.40 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
2.05 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
2.64 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.21 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
13.00 |
Independiente del Valle
Flamengo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente del Valle
38 matches
Flamengo
37 matches
| Independiente del Valle | Statistic | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wins | 24 |
| 3 | Draws | 9 |
| 6 | Losses | 4 |
| 86 | Goals For | 75 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.03 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 18 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.95 | Shots On Goal | 5.79 |
| 16.92 | Total Shots | 15.94 |
| 5.81 | Corners | 4.76 |
| 52.4% | Ball Possession | 56.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Flamengo. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independiente del Valle expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Flamengo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Flamengo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Independiente del Valle come into this tie placed 1 in their league with 13 points from 6 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 11:6 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking influence is driven by Carlos González (7 goals), Junior Sornoza (2 goals), Daykol Romero (1 goals), with creative support from Layan Loor (2 assists), Junior Sornoza (1 assists), Daykol Romero (1 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Flamengo come into this tie placed 1 in their league with 16 points from 6 matches. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 14:2 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking influence is driven by Bruno Henrique (4 goals), Lucas Paquetá (3 goals), Giorgian de Arrascaeta (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Henrique (2 assists), Ayrton Lucas (2 assists), Giorgian de Arrascaeta (1 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Independiente del Valle won 2 times, Flamengo won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:10 from Independiente del Valle's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:1 | 8 | 13 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:13 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|