Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
78.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
59.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
88.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Waterford
Drogheda United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Waterford
23 matches
Drogheda United
19 matches
| Waterford | Statistic | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 11 | Losses | 7 |
| 28 | Goals For | 25 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.44 | Shots On Goal | 3.44 |
| 11.88 | Total Shots | 9.63 |
| 5.19 | Corners | 4 |
| 40.1% | Ball Possession | 38.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Drogheda United. Drogheda United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 19 points while Waterford sit 10 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Waterford sit 10 with 7 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 15:34 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Lonergan (5 goals), John Mahon (3 goals), P. Amond (3 goals), with creative support from J. Voilas (2 assists), Evan McLaughlin (2 assists), T. Lonergan (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Drogheda United have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 19 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:26 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Doyle (6 goals), Conor Keeley (3 goals), W. Davis (3 goals), with creative support from B. Kavanagh (2 assists), K. Cruise (2 assists), Conor Keeley (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Waterford won 6 times, Drogheda United won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:24 from Waterford's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Waterford
3
6
3
4
6
1
Lineups
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Kerry
Waterford
Riverstown FC
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bray Wanderers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Drogheda United
Away
|
24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
| 9 |
Waterford
Home
|
24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|