Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Wanderers
Progreso
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Wanderers
19 matches
Progreso
19 matches
| Wanderers | Statistic | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 12 |
| 22 | Goals For | 16 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.84 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Progreso having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Progreso. Progreso arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Wanderers arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 26 points compared to Progreso in 15 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Wanderers are currently 8 in the standings with 26 points from 19 matches. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 22:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jonás Luna (4 goals), F. Labandeira (3 goals), J. Alberti (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Progreso approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 13 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats with a 16:30 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on N. Lopez (3 goals), G. Silva (2 goals), M. Copelotti (2 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wanderers won 6 times, Progreso won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from Wanderers's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Progreso
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Boston River
Wanderers
Cerro
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
CA River Plate
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Penarol
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Boston River
Progreso
Cerro
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Central Espanol
Progreso
Juventud
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Cerro
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
CA River Plate
Wanderers
Boston River
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Cerro
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Plaza Colonia
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Cerro
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Plaza Colonia
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
CA River Plate
Progreso
Boston River
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Penarol
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Wanderers
Home
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 18 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 |
Progreso
Away
|
19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|