08.09.2026 00:15
Estadio 15 de Abril
Union Santa Fe
Match Timeline
Instituto Cordoba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
Leonel Mosevich · Assist: Alex Luna
Instituto Cordoba
25'
Brahian Cuello · Assist: Juan Pintado
Union Santa Fe
🟨
28'
Emilio Giaccone
Union Santa Fe
🟨
37'
Fernando Alarcon
Instituto Cordoba
🟨
44'
Matías Gallardo
Instituto Cordoba
48'
Cristian Tarragona · Assist: Brahian Cuello
Union Santa Fe
🔄
58'
Jhon Córdoba ↔ Jeremías Ezequiel Lázaro
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
58'
Matías Tissera ↔ Nicolás Guerra
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
62'
Emilio Giaccone ↔ Joaquin Mosqueira
Union Santa Fe
🔄
70'
Brahian Cuello ↔ Misael Aguirre
Union Santa Fe
🔄
70'
Marcelo Estigarriba ↔ Erik Ramirez
Union Santa Fe
🔄
73'
Jonathan Galván ↔ Hernán De La Fuente
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
73'
Gustavo Abregú ↔ Juan Ignacio Méndez
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
73'
Giuliano Cerato ↔ Facundo Ezquel Suarez
Instituto Cordoba
74'
Misael Aguirre · Assist: Lucas Menossi
Union Santa Fe
🟨
83'
Alex Luna
Instituto Cordoba
87'
Hernán De La Fuente · Assist: Alex Luna
Instituto Cordoba
VAR
89'
Cristian Tarragona
Union Santa Fe
🟥
90'
Cristian Tarragona
Union Santa Fe
🔄
90+1'
Juan Pintado ↔ Nazareno Garcia Fazzi
Union Santa Fe
🔄
90+1'
Lucas Menossi ↔ Mateo Peresutti
Union Santa Fe
🟥
90+6'
Matías Gallardo
Instituto Cordoba
🟨
90+8'
Facundo Ezquel Suarez
Instituto Cordoba

Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.9%
1.40
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.05
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.67
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.8%
1.45
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Union Santa Fe Win 40.2%
Draw 21.8%
Instituto Cordoba Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Santa Fe1.21
Instituto Cordoba1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
WWDLW
40 GF / 35 GA
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba
WLDWL
28 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
15
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
7
5.12
Shots on Goal
4.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 27 matches
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 26 matches
Union Santa Fe Statistic Instituto Cordoba
10 Wins 13
7 Draws 5
10 Losses 8
40 Goals For 28
35 Goals Against 21
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
15 BTTS Yes 10
22 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 7
8 Over 3.5 1
6 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 7
5.12 Shots On Goal 4.39
15.68 Total Shots 13.7
4.76 Corners 5.26
49.4% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Union Santa Fe's more proactive style and Instituto Cordoba's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Instituto Cordoba look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Instituto Cordoba. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union Santa Fe expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Instituto Cordoba in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Instituto Cordoba having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Union Santa Fe Analysis

Union Santa Fe sit 8 with 21 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 24:20 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Cristian Tarragona (6 goals), Lucas Menossi (4 goals), Agustín Colazo (3 goals), with creative support from Julián Palacios (4 assists), Cristian Tarragona (1 assists), Marcelo Estigarribia (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Instituto Cordoba Analysis

Instituto Cordoba sit 9 with 21 points after 16 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 17:17 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Matías Tissera (2 goals), Jeremías Lázaro (1 goals), Giuliano Cerato (1 goals), with creative support from Gastón Lodico (2 assists), Jeremías Lázaro (1 assists), Diego Alejandro Sosa (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Union Santa Fe won 4 times, Instituto Cordoba won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:5 from Union Santa Fe's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.2%)
Predicted formations: Union Santa Fe 4-3-1-2 / Instituto Cordoba 3-4-3
H2H summary: Union Santa Fe wins 4, draws 2, Instituto Cordoba wins 1

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L D L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W D W D D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W D D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W L D D L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D W L D W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W L D L W
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D W L D W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L W W W L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
L W D W W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W L W W D
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L D W W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L D L W D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L D L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D D D W W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D D D L W
Knockout Phase