CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Gradski vrt
Referee: I. Vukancic
Vukovar
Match Timeline
NK Varazdin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
43'
Lovro Banovec
Vukovar
45'
D. Puclin
NK Varazdin
🟨
56'
Roberto Punčec
NK Varazdin
🔄
63'
D. Puclin ↔ S. Ilinkovic
NK Varazdin
🔄
63'
L. Mamic ↔ I. Canjuga
NK Varazdin
🔄
68'
↔ M. Marina
NK Varazdin
🟨
69'
Eniss Shabani
Vukovar
🔄
83'
J. Gurlica ↔ N. Pajvancic
Vukovar
🔄
83'
L. Banovec ↔ D. Vinkovic
Vukovar
🟨
84'
Aleksa Latković
NK Varazdin
🔄
89'
A. Latkovic ↔ S. Juric
NK Varazdin
90'
S. Juric · Assist: T. Duvnjak
NK Varazdin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vukovar Win 18.4%
Draw 18.4%
NK Varazdin Win 63.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vukovar1.14
NK Varazdin1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vukovar Vukovar
WWDLW
34 GF / 65 GA
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
WLDWL
45 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
21
BTTS Yes
23
20
Over 2.5
18
2.59
Shots on Goal
3.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vukovar Vukovar 34 matches
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 36 matches
Vukovar Statistic NK Varazdin
6 Wins 14
10 Draws 9
18 Losses 13
34 Goals For 45
65 Goals Against 49
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
21 BTTS Yes 23
28 Over 1.5 30
20 Over 2.5 18
12 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 7
2.59 Shots On Goal 3.39
7.74 Total Shots 10.25
2.85 Corners 3.39
35% Ball Possession 41.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. NK Varazdin carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 48 points while Vukovar sit 10 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward NK Varazdin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Vukovar Analysis

From their first 34 matches, Vukovar have collected 28 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 10 draws, and 18 losses, while the 34:65 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Puljic (15 goals), R. Gonzalez (7 goals), Lovro Banovec (3 goals), with creative support from Lovro Banovec (5 assists), R. Gonzalez (3 assists), M. Ticinovic (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

NK Varazdin Analysis

NK Varazdin come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 48 points from 34 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 43:46 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Mamut (9 goals), A. Latkovic (8 goals), I. Tavares (6 goals), with creative support from A. Latkovic (6 assists), F. Maglica (6 assists), I. Mamut (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Vukovar won 1 times, NK Varazdin won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Vukovar's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (81.6%)
Predicted formations: Vukovar 4-2-3-1 / NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vukovar wins 1, draws 1, NK Varazdin wins 3
Stats
Vukovar Vukovar
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 3
13 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 3
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
407 Total passes 410
338 Passes accurate 335
0.70 expected_goals 1.74
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Vukovar
Formation
NK Varazdin
A. Djakovic
A. Djakovic
A. Bosec
A. Bosec
N. Vlasenko
N. Vlasenko
V. Caic
V. Caic
K. Cabrajic
K. Cabrajic
E. Shabani
E. Shabani
J. Gurlica
J. Gurlica
S. Butic
S. Butic
R. Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
L. Banovec
L. Banovec
J. Puljic
J. Puljic
O. Zelenika
O. Zelenika
N. Tepsic
N. Tepsic
R. Puncec
R. Puncec
S. Lesjak
S. Lesjak
F. Maglica
F. Maglica
D. Puclin
D. Puclin
T. Duvnjak
🎯
T. Duvnjak
A. Borsic
A. Borsic
L. Mamic
L. Mamic
I. Tavares
I. Tavares
A. Latkovic
A. Latkovic
Vukovar 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
42
A. Djakovic
G
8
A. Bosec
D
5
N. Vlasenko
D
13
V. Caic
D
20
K. Cabrajic
D
77
E. Shabani
🟨 69'
M
35
J. Gurlica
↓ 83'
M
27
S. Butic
M
10
R. Gonzalez
F
28
L. Banovec
↓ 83'
M
21
J. Puljic
F
Substitutes
1
M. Bulat
G
34
M. Tadic
D
39
P. Bugas
F
33
L. Klanac
F
50
J. Spoljaric
M
6
J. Biljan
M
4
H. Sabanovic
D
7
K. Calhanoglu
D
25
N. Pajvancic
↑ 83'
F
23
D. Vinkovic
↑ 83'
NK Varazdin 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
O. Zelenika
G
16
N. Tepsic
D
14
R. Puncec
🟨 56'
D
2
S. Lesjak
D
23
F. Maglica
M
6
D. Puclin
⚽ 45' ↓ 63'
M
8
T. Duvnjak
🎯 90'
M
25
A. Borsic
M
22
L. Mamic
↓ 63'
F
38
I. Tavares
F
10
A. Latkovic
↓ 89' 🟨 84'
F
Substitutes
33
J. Silic
G
15
S. Ilinkovic
↑ 63'
M
28
I. Canjuga
↑ 63'
F
18
Paizinho
F
20
G. Sikosek
D
9
S. Juric
⚽ 90' ↑ 89'
F
24
M. Marina
↑ 68'
M
30
L. Posinkovic
D
Last matches: Vukovar
22.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
3
6
L
08.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
3
L
02.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
1
0
W
25.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
22.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
1
2
L
18.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
2
1
W
13.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
4
L
07.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
21.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
0
6
L
13.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
08.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
28.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
2
L
20.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
15.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
07.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
3
2
W
02.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
24.01.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Velež
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
10.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Primorje
3
0
W
Last matches: NK Varazdin
23.07.26
UEF
NK Varazdin
FK Jablonec
3
2
W
16.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Beltinci
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Kustosija
3
1
W
12.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Bihor Oradea
3
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Radomlje
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
02.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
FC Voluntari
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
23.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2
0
W
09.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
03.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
3
L
26.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L
22.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
17.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
2
0
W
12.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Slaven Belupo
2
1
W
03.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
20.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
2
L
13.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
0
W
07.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
28.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
H2H: Vukovar vs NK Varazdin
15.05.26
H2H
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
13.03.26
H2H
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
0
L
12.12.25
H2H
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
2
0
W
26.09.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
1
L
15.10.23
H2H
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
0
D
Last matches: Vukovar
02.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
1
0
W
22.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
1
2
L
13.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
4
L
07.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
21.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
0
6
L
08.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
20.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
07.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Velež
1
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Primorje
3
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Aresimi
4
0
W
12.12.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
2
0
W
28.11.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
2
2
D
27.10.25
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
0
W
17.10.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
04.10.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
0
1
L
22.09.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
3
2
W
30.08.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
1
2
L
22.08.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
2
2
D
15.08.25
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
1
1
D
H2H at home: Vukovar
15.05.26
H2H
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
12.12.25
H2H
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
2
0
W
15.10.23
H2H
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
0
D
Last matches: NK Varazdin
12.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Bihor Oradea
3
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Radomlje
1
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
03.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
3
L
26.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L
17.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
2
0
W
20.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
2
L
07.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Križevci
0
3
L
14.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
3
L
31.01.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
26.01.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Emirates Club
4
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Ittifaq
4
2
W
12.12.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
0
2
L
29.11.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
22.11.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
02.11.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
0
0
D
19.10.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
3
1
W
03.10.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
0
1
L
H2H away: NK Varazdin
15.05.26
H2H
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
W
12.12.25
H2H
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
2
0
L
15.10.23
H2H
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
0
D

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation