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SWEDEN › ALLSVENSKAN
18.10.2026 12:00
Hitachi Energy Arena

Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.4%
Odds 2.35
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.4%
2.35 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
1.73 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Vasteras SK FK Win 84.4%
Draw 6.3%
Mjallby AIF Win 9.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasteras SK FK1.56
Mjallby AIF1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
WWDLW
49 GF / 47 GA
Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF
WLDWL
49 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
14
BTTS Yes
17
17
Over 2.5
20
4.04
Shots on Goal
4.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 33 matches
Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF 37 matches
Vasteras SK FK Statistic Mjallby AIF
13 Wins 9
7 Draws 12
13 Losses 16
49 Goals For 49
47 Goals Against 62
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
14 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 30
17 Over 2.5 20
13 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 15
4.04 Shots On Goal 4.53
11.3 Total Shots 11.33
4.26 Corners 4.47
47.5% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mjallby AIF. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vasteras SK FK expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Mjallby AIF in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mjallby AIF having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Vasteras SK FK Analysis

From their first 23 matches, Vasteras SK FK have collected 35 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 34:36 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Mikkel Ladefoged (8 goals), A. Taonsa (6 goals), M. Baggesen (2 goals), with creative support from I. Lushaku (4 assists), S. Gefvert (4 assists), M. Baggesen (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mjallby AIF Analysis

Mjallby AIF are currently 12 in the standings with 23 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, while the 28:39 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Bergström (9 goals), J. Kjær (3 goals), Elliot Stroud (3 goals), with creative support from Á. Samuelsen (3 assists), Abdoulie Manneh (3 assists), M. Nielsen (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Vasteras SK FK won 1 times, Mjallby AIF won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Vasteras SK FK's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3 / Mjallby AIF 5-3-2
Missing players: Vasteras SK FK 3, Mjallby AIF 3
H2H summary: Vasteras SK FK wins 1, draws 2, Mjallby AIF wins 3

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 53:28 25 54
W W W W L
2 23 14 2 7 48:21 27 44
W L W W W
3 23 13 4 6 49:21 28 43
L W W D L
4 23 11 7 5 35:22 13 40
W W W L W
5 23 10 9 4 42:30 12 39
W W D D L
6 23 11 3 9 38:33 5 36
W L W D W
7 23 10 5 8 34:36 -2 35
L W W L W
8 23 10 5 8 32:41 -9 35
W W W W W
9 23 9 6 8 36:40 -4 33
L L D L D
10 23 8 6 9 28:21 7 30
L W L D W
11 23 8 6 9 36:41 -5 30
W L L W L
12 23 5 8 10 28:39 -11 23
D L D D L
13 23 5 5 13 20:35 -15 20
D L L W L
14 23 5 4 14 21:37 -16 19
L L L L L
15 23 3 6 14 25:52 -27 15
L L L D L
16 23 3 5 15 16:44 -28 14
L W L L W
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