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11.11.2026 21:00
Estadio Polideportivo Sur

Envigado vs Union Magdalena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
50.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
73.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Envigado Win 34.9%
Draw 33.5%
Union Magdalena Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Envigado1.18
Union Magdalena1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Envigado Envigado
W L D W W
7 GF / 2 GA
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
D D D D W
4 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.32
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
21
BTTS Yes
24
16
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Envigado Envigado 43 matches
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 41 matches
Envigado Statistic Union Magdalena
20 Wins 17
14 Draws 15
9 Losses 9
58 Goals For 54
36 Goals Against 38
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
21 BTTS Yes 24
30 Over 1.5 31
16 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 7
19 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Union Magdalena. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union Magdalena having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Envigado Analysis

Envigado come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 68 points after 41 matches. The return of 18 wins, 14 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 54:35, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Union Magdalena Analysis

Union Magdalena come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 65 points from 40 matches. The record of 17 wins, 14 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 53:37 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Envigado won 1 times, Union Magdalena won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Envigado's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (68.5%)
H2H summary: Envigado wins 1, draws 1, Union Magdalena wins 3

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 39 20 10 9 43:30 13 70
L W W W W
2 41 18 14 9 54:35 19 68
L D W W W
3 41 17 14 10 63:46 17 65
W L D D W
4 40 17 14 9 53:37 16 65
D D D D W
5 36 17 10 9 43:33 10 61
L L D D L
6 39 13 14 12 37:31 6 53
W D D L D
7 34 12 13 9 36:30 6 49
D D L L L
8 36 10 14 12 30:36 -6 44
D W D D D
9 33 10 12 11 34:33 1 42
L D L W D
10 33 10 11 12 41:43 -2 41
W W D W L
11 36 10 10 16 44:48 -4 40
D L D W D
12 30 9 8 13 30:40 -10 35
L L L D L
13 30 8 10 12 24:31 -7 34
W L D W L
14 30 6 9 15 28:44 -16 27
L L W D L
15 30 5 12 13 26:43 -17 27
D W D W L
16 30 5 9 16 20:46 -26 24
L L W D D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)