Login Register
11.11.2026 22:00
Estadio do Cafe
Referee: Helena de Siqueira, Andreza

Londrina vs Nautico Recife Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.9%
1.14 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.62 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.8%
1.03 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Londrina Win 44.1%
Draw 24.8%
Nautico Recife Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Londrina1.26
Nautico Recife1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Londrina Londrina
L L L W D
5 GF / 11 GA
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
L W L D L
1 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
20
BTTS Yes
15
24
Over 2.5
15
3.84
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Londrina Londrina 37 matches
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 37 matches
Londrina Statistic Nautico Recife
8 Wins 12
8 Draws 10
21 Losses 15
45 Goals For 40
58 Goals Against 49
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
20 BTTS Yes 15
28 Over 1.5 24
24 Over 2.5 15
12 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 10
13 Failed To Score 15
3.84 Shots On Goal 4.38
13.78 Total Shots 15.76
5.35 Corners 6.16
46.9% Ball Possession 56.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Londrina expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Nautico Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nautico Recife having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nautico Recife.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina sit 18 with 32 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 45:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Santos (4 goals), João Vitor (3 goals), Herbert (3 goals), with creative support from João Vitor (5 assists), Bruno Santos (3 assists), Lucas Marques (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nautico Recife Analysis

Nautico Recife approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 46 points from 36 matches. The overall return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 14 defeats with a 40:46 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Vinícius (7 goals), Jean Carlos (3 goals), Júnior Todinho (3 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (3 assists), Jean Carlos (3 assists), Yuri (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 7 times, Nautico Recife won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:9 from Londrina's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.18 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.2%)
Predicted formations: Londrina 4-1-4-1 / Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Londrina wins 7, draws 2, Nautico Recife wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 20 10 7 66:32 34 70
W W W D W
2 37 19 11 7 49:26 23 68
W D W D D
3 37 19 9 9 53:38 15 66
W D L D W
4 37 18 8 11 38:31 7 62
L W L W W
5 37 16 14 7 44:33 11 62
L D D W D
6 37 17 7 13 57:51 6 58
W L W L D
7 37 17 7 13 39:41 -2 58
W W W D W
8 37 15 13 9 45:35 10 58
W D L D D
9 37 14 13 10 50:42 8 55
L D W L D
10 37 15 9 13 49:50 -1 54
W L W L L
11 37 14 10 13 52:42 10 52
L W W L D
12 37 14 9 14 45:39 6 51
W D W W W
13 37 11 14 12 34:32 2 47
L L L L L
14 37 11 14 12 44:44 0 47
L W L D D
15 37 12 10 15 40:49 -9 46
L W L D L
16 37 11 10 16 38:47 -9 43
L L L D L
17 37 11 7 19 35:47 -12 40
W L L D W
18 37 8 8 21 45:58 -13 32
L L L W D
19 37 8 5 24 27:55 -28 29
W W W W L
20 37 3 6 28 21:79 -58 15
L L D D L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation