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ITALY › SERIE B
24.10.2026 13:00
Stadio Comunale

Virtus Entella vs Mantova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Virtus Entella Win 26.6%
Draw 4.6%
Mantova Win 68.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Virtus Entella1.29
Mantova2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Virtus Entella Virtus Entella
WWDLW
14 GF / 13 GA
Mantova Mantova
WLDWL
33 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
2.54
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
7
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
8
4
Shots on Goal
5.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 11 matches
Mantova Mantova 13 matches
Virtus Entella Statistic Mantova
3 Wins 8
4 Draws 2
4 Losses 3
14 Goals For 33
13 Goals Against 17
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 2.54
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
7 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 5.78
14.88 Total Shots 13
4.75 Corners 3.78
51.9% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mantova. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Mantova carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 14 points while Virtus Entella sit 14 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Virtus Entella expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Mantova in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mantova having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Virtus Entella Analysis

With 6 points from 6 games and a place of 14, Virtus Entella still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats with a 8:7 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Giacomo Corona (2 goals), Bernat Guiu (1 goals), A. Franzoni (1 goals), with creative support from Bernat Guiu (2 assists), A. Franzoni (1 assists), L. Parodi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Mantova Analysis

Mantova come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 14 points after 6 matches. With 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:6, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by F. Ruocco (5 goals), V. Vlahović (2 goals), R. Ilie (1 goals), with creative support from A. Castellini (4 assists), R. Ilie (2 assists), V. Vlahović (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Virtus Entella won 1 times, Mantova won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Virtus Entella's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Virtus Entella 3-5-2 / Mantova 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Virtus Entella wins 1, draws 0, Mantova wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 16:7 9 19
W W W D W
2 7 4 2 1 13:8 5 14
L W D W D
3 7 4 1 2 14:9 5 13
W W D L W
4 7 4 1 2 12:8 4 13
L W W D L
5 7 3 3 1 9:6 3 12
L D W D W
6 7 3 3 1 8:5 3 12
D D W L W
7 7 3 2 2 12:8 4 11
D W L D W
8 7 3 2 2 10:7 3 11
D W W W L
9 7 3 1 3 8:14 -6 10
W D L W L
10 7 2 3 2 10:8 2 9
W D D W D
11 7 2 2 3 14:12 2 8
D L W L W
12 7 1 5 1 8:9 -1 8
D L D D D
13 7 2 1 4 6:7 -1 7
W W L L L
14 7 2 1 4 7:11 -4 7
D L L L W
15 7 2 1 4 6:10 -4 7
L L L W L
16 7 1 3 3 6:10 -4 6
L D D D W
17 7 1 3 3 9:15 -6 6
D L L D D
18 7 2 3 2 8:8 0 5
W D D D L
19 7 1 1 5 7:15 -8 4
L L W L L
20 7 1 1 5 8:14 -6 4
D L L W L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation