UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Vipers
Match Timeline
Express
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
47'
K. Watambala
Vipers
69'
G. Mulongo
Vipers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vipers Win 73.8%
Draw 0%
Express Win 26.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vipers1.53
Express0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vipers Vipers
WWDLW
53 GF / 14 GA
Express Express
WLDWL
28 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
0.97
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
14
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vipers Vipers 28 matches
Express Express 29 matches
Vipers Statistic Express
18 Wins 9
10 Draws 10
0 Losses 10
53 Goals For 28
14 Goals Against 29
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
14 BTTS Yes 9
22 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 7
14 Clean Sheets 12
3 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Vipers's more proactive style and Express's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Express. Vipers arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 64 points compared to Express in 9 on 37, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Express having the stronger overall control.

Vipers Analysis

Vipers arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 64 points after 29 matches. The record of 18 wins, 10 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 53:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Watambala (11 goals), A. Usama (10 goals), M. Karisa (6 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Express Analysis

So far, Express have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 37 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 28:29 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. K. Ssenoga (8 goals), R. Basangwa (6 goals), K. Kimera (5 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Vipers won 8 times, Express won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:10 from Vipers's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Vipers wins 8, draws 4, Express wins 2
Last matches: Vipers
19.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Maroons
3
0
W
12.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Police
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pre
Vipers
URA
1
1
D
29.04.26
Pre
Vipers
KCCA
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Entebbe UPPC
3
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
15.04.26
Pre
Vipers
SC Villa
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Kitara
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Calvary
1
0
W
11.03.26
Pre
Vipers
UPDF
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
3
0
W
17.02.26
Pre
Vipers
NEC
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Vipers
BUL
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Buhimba Saints
4
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Police
4
1
W
24.01.26
Pre
Vipers
URA
3
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
0
W
17.12.25
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
2
1
W
13.12.25
Pre
Vipers
BUL
3
1
W
Last matches: Express
19.05.26
Pre
Express
Lugazi
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Express
Kitara
3
2
W
08.05.26
Pre
Express
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
28.04.26
Pre
Express
Mbarara City
1
2
L
24.04.26
Pre
Express
BUL
0
2
L
21.04.26
Pre
Express
NEC
0
0
D
15.04.26
Pre
Express
UPDF
1
0
W
08.04.26
Pre
Express
Police
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Express
URA
3
1
W
11.03.26
Pre
Express
KCCA
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Express
SC Villa
0
0
D
04.03.26
Pre
Express
Maroons
1
1
D
18.02.26
Pre
Express
Calvary
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pre
Express
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pre
Express
NEC
0
0
D
28.01.26
Pre
Express
Kitara
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Express
Buhimba Saints
3
1
W
08.01.26
Pre
Express
SC Villa
0
1
L
17.12.25
Pre
Express
Maroons
0
4
L
11.12.25
Pre
Express
Entebbe UPPC
0
2
L
H2H: Vipers vs Express
23.05.26
H2H
Vipers
Express
2
0
W
26.11.25
H2H
Express
Vipers
0
3
W
11.04.25
H2H
Express
Vipers
2
2
D
19.09.24
H2H
Vipers
Express
3
0
W
08.05.24
H2H
Vipers
Express
1
0
W
30.12.23
H2H
Express
Vipers
2
0
L
16.05.23
H2H
Vipers
Express
5
2
W
13.12.22
H2H
Express
Vipers
0
0
D
29.04.22
H2H
Vipers
Express
3
0
W
30.10.21
H2H
Express
Vipers
2
2
D
23.04.21
H2H
Vipers
Express
0
1
L
09.02.21
H2H
Express
Vipers
1
1
D
20.05.20
H2H
Express
Vipers
0
0
D
12.10.19
H2H
Vipers
Express
3
0
W
01.03.19
H2H
Vipers
Express
2
0
W
Last matches: Vipers
08.05.26
Pre
Vipers
URA
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Entebbe UPPC
3
0
W
10.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Kitara
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Calvary
1
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
3
0
W
17.02.26
Pre
Vipers
NEC
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Buhimba Saints
4
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Police
4
1
W
06.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
0
W
13.12.25
Pre
Vipers
BUL
3
1
W
02.12.25
Pre
Vipers
UPDF
5
1
W
29.11.25
Pre
Vipers
SC Villa
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Vipers
Maroons
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pre
Vipers
KCCA
1
0
W
H2H at home: Vipers
23.05.26
H2H
Vipers
Express
2
0
W
19.09.24
H2H
Vipers
Express
3
0
W
08.05.24
H2H
Vipers
Express
1
0
W
16.05.23
H2H
Vipers
Express
5
2
W
29.04.22
H2H
Vipers
Express
3
0
W
23.04.21
H2H
Vipers
Express
0
1
L
12.10.19
H2H
Vipers
Express
3
0
W
01.03.19
H2H
Vipers
Express
2
0
W
Last matches: Express
08.05.26
Pre
Express
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
28.04.26
Pre
Express
Mbarara City
1
2
L
15.04.26
Pre
Express
UPDF
1
0
W
11.03.26
Pre
Express
KCCA
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Express
SC Villa
0
0
D
18.02.26
Pre
Express
Calvary
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pre
Express
NEC
0
0
D
28.01.26
Pre
Express
Kitara
0
1
L
17.12.25
Pre
Express
Maroons
0
4
L
11.12.25
Pre
Express
Entebbe UPPC
0
2
L
20.11.25
Pre
Express
Lugazi
0
0
D
30.10.25
Pre
Express
BUL
0
0
D
17.10.25
Pre
Express
URA
1
1
D
02.10.25
Pre
Express
Police
1
2
L
H2H away: Express
23.05.26
H2H
Vipers
Express
2
0
L
19.09.24
H2H
Vipers
Express
3
0
L
08.05.24
H2H
Vipers
Express
1
0
L
16.05.23
H2H
Vipers
Express
5
2
L
29.04.22
H2H
Vipers
Express
3
0
L
23.04.21
H2H
Vipers
Express
0
1
W
12.10.19
H2H
Vipers
Express
3
0
L
01.03.19
H2H
Vipers
Express
2
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League