Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
52.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
18.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vila Nova
11 matches
Botafogo SP
11 matches
| Vila Nova | Statistic | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 2 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 1 | Losses | 5 |
| 17 | Goals For | 11 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.73 | Shots On Goal | 3.27 |
| 13.18 | Total Shots | 11.36 |
| 4.73 | Corners | 6.18 |
| 54.5% | Ball Possession | 46.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Vila Nova's more proactive style and Botafogo SP's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Botafogo SP. Vila Nova arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 22 points compared to Botafogo SP in 16 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Botafogo SP arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Operating from 2 place with 22 points from 11 games, Vila Nova bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 17:11 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Rafael Silva (3 goals), Ryan (3 goals), Dellatorre (2 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (4 assists), Janderson (3 assists), Ryan (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
With 10 points from 11 games and a place of 16, Botafogo SP still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 11:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Everton Morelli (6 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Luizão (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (3 assists), Rafael Gava (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova won 5 times, Botafogo SP won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from Vila Nova's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 46 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Vila Nova
Home
|
25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:25 | 12 | 44 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 41 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 37:35 | 2 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 38 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 36 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 30:28 | 2 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34:29 | 5 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Botafogo SP
Away
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
| 16 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:31 | -4 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18:42 | -24 | 14 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16:52 | -36 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
L
|