BRAZIL SERIE B
08.06.2026 23:00
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga
Referee: M. Lima Barbosa
Vila Nova
Match Timeline
Botafogo SP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
Andre Luis · Assist: Janderson
Vila Nova
🟨
32'
Patrick Brey
Botafogo SP
🟨
48'
André Luís
Vila Nova
🔄
56'
Andre Luis ↔ Gustavo Puskas
Vila Nova
🔄
61'
Kelvin ↔ Jefferson Nem
Botafogo SP
🔄
61'
Rafael Gava ↔ Felipe Vieira
Botafogo SP
🔄
74'
Hygor ↔ Arthur Caike
Botafogo SP
🔄
74'
Ze Hugo ↔ Marcio Maranhao
Botafogo SP
🔄
75'
Janderson ↔ Hayner
Vila Nova
🔄
75'
Higor ↔ Willian Formiga
Vila Nova
🔄
87'
Helton Leite ↔ Dalberson
Vila Nova
🔄
87'
↔ Bruno Xavier
Vila Nova
🟨
90+13'
Wallace
Botafogo SP
🟨
90+7'
Thiago Moraes
Botafogo SP
🟨
90'
Felipe Vieira
Botafogo SP
🔄
90+2'
Gabriel Inocencio ↔ Thiago Moraes
Botafogo SP
🔄
90+3'
Matheus Sales ↔ Pedro Henrique
Botafogo SP

Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 18.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.6%
-
BTTS Yes
52.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
18.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vila Nova Win 74.6%
Draw 9.2%
Botafogo SP Win 16.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vila Nova1.33
Botafogo SP1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vila Nova Vila Nova
WWDLW
17 GF / 11 GA
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WLDWL
11 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
4
3.73
Shots on Goal
3.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vila Nova Vila Nova 11 matches
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 11 matches
Vila Nova Statistic Botafogo SP
6 Wins 2
4 Draws 4
1 Losses 5
17 Goals For 11
11 Goals Against 11
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
3.73 Shots On Goal 3.27
13.18 Total Shots 11.36
4.73 Corners 6.18
54.5% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Vila Nova's more proactive style and Botafogo SP's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Botafogo SP. Vila Nova arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 22 points compared to Botafogo SP in 16 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Botafogo SP arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Vila Nova Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 22 points from 11 games, Vila Nova bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 17:11 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Rafael Silva (3 goals), Ryan (3 goals), Dellatorre (2 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (4 assists), Janderson (3 assists), Ryan (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Botafogo SP Analysis

With 10 points from 11 games and a place of 16, Botafogo SP still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 11:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Everton Morelli (6 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Luizão (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (3 assists), Rafael Gava (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova won 5 times, Botafogo SP won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from Vila Nova's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Vila Nova 4-2-3-1 / Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vila Nova wins 5, draws 1, Botafogo SP wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 7 5 26:13 13 46
D W W D W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 25 5 7 13 29:36 -7 22
D L D L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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