ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
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A. Le Coq Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Flora Tallinn Win 45.8%
Draw 7%
Tammeka Win 47.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Flora Tallinn1.64
Tammeka1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WWDLW
56 GF / 40 GA
Tammeka Tammeka
WLDWL
36 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
12
BTTS Yes
13
22
Over 2.5
15
1.33
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 33 matches
Tammeka Tammeka 26 matches
Flora Tallinn Statistic Tammeka
18 Wins 12
2 Draws 3
13 Losses 11
56 Goals For 36
40 Goals Against 40
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
12 BTTS Yes 13
25 Over 1.5 17
22 Over 2.5 15
12 Over 3.5 9
13 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 7
1.33 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
2.17 Corners 0
16.3% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Flora Tallinn's more proactive style and Tammeka's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tammeka. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tammeka having the stronger overall control.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Flora Tallinn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 36 points after 19 matches. The return of 12 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 39:21, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Tammeka Analysis

Tammeka sit 6 with 26 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 21:26 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flora Tallinn won 11 times, Tammeka won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:14 from Flora Tallinn's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Flora Tallinn 4-3-3 / Tammeka -
H2H summary: Flora Tallinn wins 11, draws 2, Tammeka wins 2
Last matches: Flora Tallinn
13.08.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0
4
L
06.08.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0
2
L
02.08.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
1
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
0
1
L
23.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
1
0
W
17.07.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
2
D
08.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
3
L
02.07.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
3
0
W
28.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
W
21.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
1
2
L
16.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
29.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
4
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
30.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
6
0
W
19.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
4
L
Last matches: Tammeka
14.08.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
1
0
W
02.08.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
5
L
11.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
5
L
05.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
2
1
W
21.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
0
W
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
08.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
H2H: Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka
03.04.26
H2H
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
L
20.09.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
20.07.25
H2H
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
1
2
W
30.05.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
3
1
W
08.04.25
H2H
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
1
2
W
08.02.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
21.09.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
19.07.24
H2H
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
2
0
L
19.06.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
3
1
W
31.03.24
H2H
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
0
0
D
27.09.23
H2H
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
1
2
W
02.07.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
3
0
W
10.05.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
03.05.23
H2H
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
0
3
W
01.04.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
1
1
D
Last matches: Flora Tallinn
13.08.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0
4
L
02.08.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
1
0
W
17.07.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
2
L
08.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
3
L
21.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
1
2
L
13.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
30.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
6
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
15.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
07.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
3
0
W
24.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Riga
0
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Ogre United
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
BFC Daugavpils
4
0
W
17.07.25
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Valur Reykjavik
1
2
L
H2H at home: Flora Tallinn
20.09.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
30.05.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
3
1
W
08.02.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
21.09.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
19.06.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
3
1
W
02.07.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
3
0
W
10.05.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
01.04.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
1
1
D
Last matches: Tammeka
14.08.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
1
0
W
02.08.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
5
L
11.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
5
L
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
27.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Riga Mariners
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Nõmme United
6
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Trans Narva
2
1
W
H2H away: Tammeka
20.09.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
L
30.05.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
3
1
L
08.02.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
L
21.09.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
L
19.06.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
3
1
L
02.07.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
3
0
L
10.05.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
L
01.04.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
1
1
D

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 5 1 55:17 38 50
W D W L D
2 22 12 5 5 40:17 23 41
W W D W D
3 20 13 0 7 40:21 19 39
W L W W L
4 21 10 5 6 33:28 5 35
W L W D W
5 20 9 2 9 23:31 -8 29
W L L W W
6 21 8 3 10 29:39 -10 27
D L W L W
7 23 8 1 14 40:54 -14 25
L L L W W
8 22 8 1 13 32:38 -6 25
L L W W L
9 22 6 3 13 22:36 -14 21
W L D L L
10 22 5 1 16 17:50 -33 16
L W W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga