ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
02.09.2026 16:00
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: J. Frischer
Flora Tallinn
Match Timeline
Tammeka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
M. Kukkonen · Assist: R. Valdmets
Flora Tallinn
22'
S. Zenjov
Flora Tallinn
42'
H. Pedmanson · Assist: P. Veelma
Tammeka
🔄
46'
T. Lang ↔ L. Ounpuu
Tammeka
🔄
54'
R. Neltsas ↔ T. Teevali
Flora Tallinn
🔄
54'
G. Uggeri ↔ R. Silov
Tammeka
🟨
57'
I. Antonov
Flora Tallinn
🟨
66'
R. Valdmets
Flora Tallinn
🔄
67'
M. Hydara ↔ G. Tuur
Tammeka
🔄
67'
H. Pedmanson ↔ Kauan Pereira
Tammeka
72'
S. Zenjov · Assist: S. Alamaa
Flora Tallinn
🔄
73'
I. Antonov ↔ M. Jekimov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
73'
D. Kuraksin ↔ R. Alliku
Flora Tallinn
🟨
75'
J. Amijekori
Tammeka
🔄
78'
R. Valdmets ↔ D. Zotov
Flora Tallinn
79'
S. Tovstik
Tammeka
🔄
87'
O. Kangaslahti ↔ R. Laabus
Tammeka
🟨
90+5'
P. Veelma
Tammeka
🟨
90+5'
S. Zenjov
Flora Tallinn
🟨
90+5'
L. Ounpuu
Tammeka

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93%
1.17
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.40
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.73
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Flora Tallinn Win 45.8%
Draw 7%
Tammeka Win 47.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Flora Tallinn1.57
Tammeka1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WWDLW
62 GF / 49 GA
Tammeka Tammeka
WLDWL
42 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
16
BTTS Yes
14
26
Over 2.5
16
1.33
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 37 matches
Tammeka Tammeka 29 matches
Flora Tallinn Statistic Tammeka
19 Wins 15
2 Draws 3
16 Losses 11
62 Goals For 42
49 Goals Against 41
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
16 BTTS Yes 14
29 Over 1.5 19
26 Over 2.5 16
14 Over 3.5 10
13 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 7
1.33 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
2.17 Corners 0
16.3% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Flora Tallinn's more proactive style and Tammeka's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tammeka. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tammeka having the stronger overall control.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Flora Tallinn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 36 points after 19 matches. The return of 12 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 39:21, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Tammeka Analysis

Tammeka sit 6 with 26 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 21:26 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flora Tallinn won 11 times, Tammeka won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:16 from Flora Tallinn's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Flora Tallinn 4-3-3 / Tammeka -
H2H summary: Flora Tallinn wins 11, draws 1, Tammeka wins 3

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 20 5 1 70:20 50 65
W W W W W
2 27 16 1 10 53:35 18 49
D W W L L
3 26 13 6 7 42:33 9 45
W L W W D
4 27 13 5 9 47:26 21 44
L L L L W
5 26 13 2 11 33:37 -4 41
L W L W W
6 26 10 4 12 37:48 -11 34
W W D L L
7 27 10 1 16 38:46 -8 31
L L W W L
8 27 9 1 17 44:62 -18 28
W L L L L
9 27 8 4 15 30:46 -16 28
L W D L W
10 27 5 3 19 21:62 -41 18
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga