BELARUS PREMIER LEAGUE
02.09.2026 15:30
Vitebsk CSK
ML Vitebsk
Match Timeline
Belshina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Vladislav Kavaliou
Belshina
🟨
22'
Gleb Yakushevich
Belshina
🔄
24'
V. Kovalev ↔ V. Davydov
Belshina
44'
B. Diabate · Assist: A. Kontsevoy
ML Vitebsk
🔄
46'
V. Gromyko ↔ T. Ivanov
ML Vitebsk
🔄
46'
Y. Kozlov ↔ P. Seleznev
Belshina
54'
A. Shvedchikov · Assist: N. Golub
Belshina
🔄
62'
D. Cleonise ↔ R. Bosic
ML Vitebsk
🔄
62'
S. Gnaka ↔ A. Mesarovic
ML Vitebsk
🔄
62'
S. Balanovich ↔ V. Zhuk
ML Vitebsk
🔄
64'
A. Shvedchikov ↔ A. Achapovskiy
Belshina
🔄
64'
N. Golub ↔ L. Zgurskiy
Belshina
🔄
71'
V. Solanovich ↔ N. Sokolovskiy
Belshina
🔄
80'
B. Diabate ↔ M. Bulanov
ML Vitebsk
🟨
85'
Vladislav Zhuk
ML Vitebsk
🟨
90+4'
Aleksandar Mesarović
ML Vitebsk

ML Vitebsk vs Belshina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.14
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
No
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.61
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.14
BTTS No
51.8%
1.61
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
54.1%
1.36
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
87.1%
1.46
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.51
Correct Score 3-0
-
6.20
Probability Distribution
ML Vitebsk Win 88%
Draw 6%
Belshina Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
ML Vitebsk1.89
Belshina0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk
WWDLW
56 GF / 25 GA
Belshina Belshina
WLDWL
24 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.92
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
15
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
11
1.43
Shots on Goal
0.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk 28 matches
Belshina Belshina 26 matches
ML Vitebsk Statistic Belshina
19 Wins 6
5 Draws 4
4 Losses 16
56 Goals For 24
25 Goals Against 45
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
15 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 21
17 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 9
1.43 Shots On Goal 0.78
0.3 Total Shots 0
1.74 Corners 0.72
19.6% Ball Possession 10.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around ML Vitebsk's more proactive style and Belshina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. ML Vitebsk come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. ML Vitebsk arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 38 points compared to Belshina in 15 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Belshina. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Belshina having the stronger overall control.

ML Vitebsk Analysis

ML Vitebsk come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 38 points after 17 matches. They have recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, with a 35:14 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Belshina Analysis

Belshina sit 15 with 15 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 16:32 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, ML Vitebsk won 4 times, Belshina won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:4 from ML Vitebsk's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: ML Vitebsk 4-3-3 / Belshina 4-4-2
H2H summary: ML Vitebsk wins 4, draws 1, Belshina wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 6 2 34:15 19 42
D W D W W
2 19 11 7 1 36:15 21 40
D D W D W
3 19 12 4 3 35:15 20 40
D W L L W
4 21 10 6 5 30:16 14 36
W W D W L
5 21 10 4 7 33:21 12 34
W L D L W
6 21 9 5 7 21:20 1 32
L W W L W
7 20 9 4 7 23:19 4 31
D W W W L
8 21 9 4 8 29:26 3 31
W L L L W
9 20 7 6 7 28:22 6 27
L W D L L
10 20 6 7 7 23:24 -1 25
W L D W W
11 21 6 6 9 24:36 -12 24
W W D L D
12 21 5 7 9 23:36 -13 22
D L L L L
13 20 3 8 9 14:23 -9 17
L L W D W
14 20 4 5 11 19:35 -16 17
D D L W D
15 21 2 9 10 17:31 -14 15
L D D D L
16 21 2 4 15 17:52 -35 10
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga