NORWAY ELITESERIEN
18.07.2026 16:00
Lyse Arena
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen, Norway
Viking
Match Timeline
Sandefjord
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
7'
Kristoffer Askildsen
Viking
9'
Z. Tripic
Viking
🟨
45+3'
Kristoffer Askildsen
Viking
🟨
45+4'
Marcus Melchior
Sandefjord
🔄
46'
H. Falchener ↔ A. Baertelsen
Viking
54'
E. Patoulidis
Sandefjord
🔄
59'
N. Fuglestad ↔ E. Austbo
Viking
🟨
61'
Zlatko Tripić
Viking
🟨
66'
Bendik Berntsen
Sandefjord
🔄
68'
B. Berntsen ↔ J. Dunsby
Sandefjord
🔄
68'
N. Moller ↔ S. Mathisen
Sandefjord
🟨
75'
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Sandefjord
🔄
75'
T. Moi ↔ J. Bell
Viking
🔄
75'
K. Askildsen ↔ O. Visted
Viking
🟨
79'
Edvin Austbø
Viking
79'
E. Austbo
Viking
🔄
80'
E. Patoulidis ↔ M. Sauer
Sandefjord
🔄
89'
F. Pedersen ↔ R. Holten
Sandefjord
🔄
90+1'
Z. Tripic ↔ H. J. Haugen
Viking

Viking vs Sandefjord Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Viking Win 75.4%
Draw 3.4%
Sandefjord Win 21.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Viking2.04
Sandefjord1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Viking Viking
WWDLW
51 GF / 18 GA
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WLDWL
33 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
2.55
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
11
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
12
5.55
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Viking Viking 20 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord 22 matches
Viking Statistic Sandefjord
15 Wins 11
3 Draws 5
2 Losses 6
51 Goals For 33
18 Goals Against 28
2.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
11 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 8
1 Failed To Score 3
5.55 Shots On Goal 4.67
15.09 Total Shots 14.5
6.09 Corners 6.08
51.5% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Viking's more proactive style and Sandefjord's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sandefjord. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Viking expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sandefjord in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sandefjord having the stronger overall control. Viking arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 27 points compared to Sandefjord in 9 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Viking come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Viking Analysis

Viking come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 27 points after 11 matches. They have recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a 29:11 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Peter Christiansen (6 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (5 goals), Zlatko Tripić (3 goals), with creative support from Zlatko Tripić (11 assists), Peter Christiansen (2 assists), Henrik Heggheim (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Sandefjord Analysis

Sandefjord sit 9 with 15 points after 12 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 12:15 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Nikolaj Möller (3 goals), Evangelos Patoulidis (2 goals), Sebastian Holm Mathisen (2 goals), with creative support from Vetle Walle Egeli (2 assists), Ruben Alte (1 assists), Edvard Pettersen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Viking won 9 times, Sandefjord won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:19 from Viking's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.62 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: Viking 4-1-4-1 / Sandefjord 4-3-3
Missing players: Viking 2, Sandefjord 2
H2H summary: Viking wins 9, draws 2, Sandefjord wins 2

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen