NORWAY ELITESERIEN
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Lyse Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.5%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Viking Win 75.5%
Draw 3.4%
Sandefjord Win 21.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Viking2.1
Sandefjord1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Viking Viking
WWDLW
51 GF / 17 GA
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WLDWL
31 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.68
Average Goals Scored
1.48
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
11
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
11
5.8
Shots on Goal
4.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Viking Viking 19 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord 21 matches
Viking Statistic Sandefjord
15 Wins 11
3 Draws 4
1 Losses 6
51 Goals For 31
17 Goals Against 26
2.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
11 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 8
0 Failed To Score 3
5.8 Shots On Goal 4.82
15.4 Total Shots 14.64
6.3 Corners 6.27
50.6% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Viking's more proactive style and Sandefjord's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Viking expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sandefjord in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sandefjord having the stronger overall control. Viking come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sandefjord. Viking arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 27 points compared to Sandefjord in 8 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Viking Analysis

Viking come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 27 points after 10 matches. With 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:10, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Christiansen (6 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (5 goals), Gianni Stensness (3 goals), with creative support from Z. Tripic (13 assists), P. Christiansen (3 assists), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Sandefjord Analysis

Sandefjord sit 8 with 14 points after 11 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 10:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nikolaj Möller (3 goals), E. Patoulidis (2 goals), S. Mathisen (2 goals), with creative support from Ruben Alte (1 assists), B. Berntsen (1 assists), Edvard Pettersen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Viking won 8 times, Sandefjord won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:21 from Viking's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.69 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: Viking 4-1-4-1 / Sandefjord 4-3-3
H2H summary: Viking wins 8, draws 2, Sandefjord wins 3
Last matches: Viking
03.07.26
Fri
Viking
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
24.05.26
Eli
Viking
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Viking
Start
6
3
W
10.05.26
Eli
Viking
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
01.05.26
Eli
Viking
Rosenborg
3
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Viking
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
18.04.26
Eli
Viking
Brann
3
2
W
11.04.26
Eli
Viking
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Viking
Valerenga
1
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
Viking
Haugesund
3
0
W
21.03.26
Eli
Viking
Molde
4
1
W
14.03.26
Eli
Viking
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fri
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Viking
Tromso
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Viking
Molde
2
2
D
13.02.26
Fri
Viking
AIK Stockholm
4
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
Viking
Start
4
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Viking
Sandnes ULF
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Viking
Djurgardens IF
3
2
W
13.08.25
UEF
Viking
Başakşehir
1
1
D
Last matches: Sandefjord
30.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Molde
1
2
L
25.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
1
3
L
10.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Aalesund
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Tromso
1
3
L
18.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
0
D
12.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Brann
1
0
W
07.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stromsgodset
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
2
L
15.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Valerenga
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Start
3
2
W
02.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Ranheim
1
0
W
26.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stabaek
2
1
W
20.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Aalborg
4
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Skeid
2
2
D
06.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Valerenga
2
5
L
30.01.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Bryne
2
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
2
1
W
H2H: Viking vs Sandefjord
10.08.25
H2H
Sandefjord
Viking
1
2
W
16.05.25
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
3
1
W
02.11.24
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
3
2
W
20.05.24
H2H
Sandefjord
Viking
0
3
W
24.09.23
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
4
3
W
13.05.23
H2H
Sandefjord
Viking
1
2
W
07.08.22
H2H
Sandefjord
Viking
2
2
D
19.06.22
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
1
2
L
02.10.21
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
2
1
W
18.09.21
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
0
0
D
19.06.21
H2H
Sandefjord
Viking
3
0
L
09.05.21
H2H
Sandefjord
Viking
0
0
D
06.12.20
H2H
Sandefjord
Viking
2
2
D
01.07.20
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
2
0
W
10.09.17
H2H
Sandefjord
Viking
3
1
L
Last matches: Viking
16.05.26
Eli
Viking
Start
6
3
W
01.05.26
Eli
Viking
Rosenborg
3
0
W
18.04.26
Eli
Viking
Brann
3
2
W
11.04.26
Eli
Viking
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
Viking
Haugesund
3
0
W
21.03.26
Eli
Viking
Molde
4
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Viking
AIK Stockholm
4
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
Viking
Start
4
0
W
07.08.25
UEF
Viking
Başakşehir
1
3
L
24.07.25
UEF
Viking
Koper
7
0
W
H2H at home: Viking
16.05.25
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
3
1
W
02.11.24
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
3
2
W
24.09.23
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
4
3
W
19.06.22
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
1
2
L
02.10.21
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
2
1
W
18.09.21
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
0
0
D
01.07.20
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
2
0
W
Last matches: Sandefjord
30.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Molde
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
1
3
L
26.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Tromso
1
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Brann
1
0
W
07.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stromsgodset
2
2
D
15.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Valerenga
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Valerenga
2
5
L
23.01.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
2
1
W
H2H away: Sandefjord
16.05.25
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
3
1
L
02.11.24
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
3
2
L
24.09.23
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
4
3
L
19.06.22
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
1
2
W
02.10.21
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
2
1
L
18.09.21
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
0
0
D
01.07.20
H2H
Viking
Sandefjord
2
0
L

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 4 2 22:14 8 28
W D D L W
2 10 9 0 1 29:10 19 27
W W W W W
3 11 7 2 2 28:11 17 23
D W W W L
4 12 7 1 4 19:11 8 22
W L L W L
5 12 6 2 4 20:15 5 20
D W L W L
6 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
D W L W D
7 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
W W L W L
8 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
L D L W W
9 12 4 2 6 15:22 -7 14
L W D W L
10 12 4 2 6 13:21 -8 14
L W L W L
11 12 4 1 7 24:20 4 13
L L L W W
12 12 2 6 4 17:22 -5 12
D D D W W
13 11 3 3 5 12:17 -5 12
D W L L D
14 11 3 2 6 11:18 -7 11
L L W L L
15 11 2 3 6 9:18 -9 9
D L L W L
16 12 1 4 7 13:28 -15 7
L W L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen