SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
05.09.2026 15:30
Hitachi Energy Arena
Referee: Adi Aganovic, Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
Match Timeline
Sirius
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa
Vasteras SK FK
🟨
44'
philip bonde
Vasteras SK FK
51'
Jesper Uneken
Sirius
🔄
63'
Jesper Uneken ↔ Ake Andersson
Sirius
🔄
70'
Bonaventure Lendambi ↔ Casper Risbjerg Andreasen
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
70'
jens magnusson ↔ Abdelrahman Saidi
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
73'
Mattias Hellisdal ↔ Ismet Lushaku
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
76'
Victor Svensson ↔ N. Jönsson
Sirius
🔄
76'
Zalán Vancsa ↔ Charlie Nildén
Sirius
🔄
84'
Isak Bjerkebo ↔ Victor Ekstrom
Sirius
🔄
88'
Mamadou Diagne ↔ karl gunnarsson
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
88'
Simon Gefvert ↔ Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist
Vasteras SK FK

Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.86
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.6%
1.86
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.60
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.16
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Vasteras SK FK Win 34%
Draw 10.4%
Sirius Win 55.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasteras SK FK1.5
Sirius1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
WWDLW
43 GF / 43 GA
Sirius Sirius
WLDWL
57 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
2.28
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
13
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
19
4.05
Shots on Goal
5.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 28 matches
Sirius Sirius 25 matches
Vasteras SK FK Statistic Sirius
11 Wins 16
7 Draws 4
10 Losses 5
43 Goals For 57
43 Goals Against 36
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 2.28
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
13 BTTS Yes 17
20 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 19
12 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 3
4.05 Shots On Goal 5.84
10.79 Total Shots 15.26
4.11 Corners 5.74
47.5% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sirius's more proactive style and Vasteras SK FK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Sirius carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 42 points while Vasteras SK FK sit 8 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sirius. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vasteras SK FK expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Sirius in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sirius having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Vasteras SK FK Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Vasteras SK FK have collected 26 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 25:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Taonsa Axel (2 goals), Marcus Baggesen (1 goals), Bonaventure Lendambi (1 goals), with creative support from Mattias Hellisdal (1 assists), Ismet Lushaku (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sirius Analysis

Sirius come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 42 points from 18 matches. The record of 13 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 47:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Robbie Ure (8 goals), Isak Bjerkebo (4 goals), Mohamed Soumah (2 goals), with creative support from Isak Bjerkebo (3 assists), Marcus Lindberg (1 assists), August Ljungberg (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Vasteras SK FK won 2 times, Sirius won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:7 from Vasteras SK FK's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
Predicted formations: Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3 / Sirius 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Vasteras SK FK 4, Sirius 3
H2H summary: Vasteras SK FK wins 2, draws 1, Sirius wins 2

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 52:28 24 51
W W W L L
2 22 13 4 5 49:20 29 43
W W D L W
3 22 13 2 7 47:21 26 41
L W W W W
4 22 10 7 5 31:22 9 37
W W L W D
5 22 9 9 4 39:30 9 36
W D D L W
6 22 10 5 7 34:35 -1 35
W W L W D
7 22 10 3 9 37:33 4 33
L W D W L
8 22 9 6 7 31:34 -3 33
L D L D W
9 22 9 5 8 31:41 -10 32
W W W W D
10 22 8 6 8 28:20 8 30
W L D W L
11 22 7 6 9 30:36 -6 27
L L W L W
12 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D D L L
13 22 5 4 13 21:36 -15 19
L L L L D
14 22 5 4 13 19:34 -15 19
L L W L L
15 22 3 6 13 25:49 -24 15
L L D L D
16 22 3 5 14 16:40 -24 14
W L L W D
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation