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19.09.2026 13:00
Hitachi Energy Arena
Referee: A. Ladeback
Vasteras SK FK
Match Timeline
Malmo FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
T. Axel
Vasteras SK FK
🟨
39'
Karl Gunnarsson
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
46'
O. Rosengren ↔ M. Lahdo
Malmo FF
⚽
52'
T. Axel · Assist: J. Magnusson
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
61'
T. Lundbergh ↔ J. Milosavljevic
Malmo FF
🔄
64'
I. Lushaku ↔ M. Hellisdal
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
64'
K. Gunnarsson ↔ A. Boudah
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
73'
D. T. Gudjohnsen ↔ V. Jeppsson
Malmo FF
🔄
81'
J. Tagesson ↔ F. Nsabiyumva
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
82'
S. Haksabanovic ↔ M. Palsson
Malmo FF
🔄
82'
S. Gregersen ↔ B. Kurtulus
Malmo FF
🔄
87'
H. Magnusson ↔ P. Amoran
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
87'
J. Magnusson ↔ M. Ljungqvist
Vasteras SK FK

Vasteras SK FK vs Malmo FF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.3%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Vasteras SK FK Win 39.4%
Draw 8.3%
Malmo FF Win 52.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasteras SK FK1.51
Malmo FF1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
W L W D L
7 GF / 6 GA
Malmo FF Malmo FF
W D W L W
6 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
14
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
16
4.1
Shots on Goal
5.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 30 matches
Malmo FF Malmo FF 27 matches
Vasteras SK FK Statistic Malmo FF
12 Wins 12
7 Draws 5
11 Losses 10
47 Goals For 43
45 Goals Against 38
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
14 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 16
13 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 3
4.1 Shots On Goal 5.19
11.19 Total Shots 14.76
4.24 Corners 4.76
47.3% Ball Possession 56.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Malmo FF's more proactive style and Vasteras SK FK's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Malmo FF. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vasteras SK FK expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Malmo FF in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Malmo FF having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Vasteras SK FK Analysis

Vasteras SK FK are currently 8 in the standings with 29 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 28:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mikkel Ladefoged (8 goals), A. Taonsa (4 goals), Marcus Baggesen (2 goals), with creative support from I. Lushaku (4 assists), Marcus Baggesen (3 assists), S. Gefvert (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Malmo FF Analysis

Malmo FF sit 7 with 30 points after 20 league matches. The record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 33:30 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Erik Botheim (9 goals), S. Hakšabanović (4 goals), A. Skogmar (4 goals), with creative support from S. Hakšabanović (6 assists), Erik Botheim (3 assists), O. Rosengren (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Vasteras SK FK won 2 times, Malmo FF won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Vasteras SK FK's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3 / Malmo FF 4-3-3
Missing players: Vasteras SK FK 4, Malmo FF 6
H2H summary: Vasteras SK FK wins 2, draws 1, Malmo FF wins 2

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 4 6 60:23 37 58
W W W W W
2 28 18 4 6 58:35 23 58
L W L L D
3 28 16 4 8 56:27 29 52
L W D D W
4 28 13 10 5 50:33 17 49
L W D W W
5 28 12 10 6 42:31 11 46
L W D D D
6 28 13 6 9 40:38 2 45
D W W L W
7 28 12 5 11 42:36 6 41
D L W D L
8 28 11 8 9 46:49 -3 41
W L D W D
9 28 11 7 10 36:28 8 40
W W W D L
10 28 10 9 9 36:46 -10 39
D L D D D
11 28 9 8 11 39:44 -5 35
D L D W L
12 28 6 10 12 30:43 -13 28
D D W L L
13 28 7 5 16 24:42 -18 26
W D L L W
14 28 5 5 18 23:48 -25 20
L L L L L
15 28 4 8 16 33:60 -27 20
D L L D W
16 28 5 5 18 20:52 -32 20
W L L W L
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation