SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
--.--.---- --:--
Hitachi Energy Arena
Referee: O. Johnson
Vasteras SK FK
Match Timeline
Degerfors IF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
M. Igonen
Degerfors IF
8'
M. Ladefoged
Vasteras SK FK
🟨
33'
M. Baggesen
Vasteras SK FK
🟨
33'
A. Taranis
Degerfors IF
🟨
38'
M. Ladefoged
Vasteras SK FK
🟨
39'
L. Fritzson
Degerfors IF
🟨
39'
M. Diagne
Vasteras SK FK
🟨
40'
D. Sundgren
Degerfors IF
🔄
46'
D. Sundgren ↔ G. Yiriyon
Degerfors IF
54'
M. Baggesen · Assist: I. Lushaku
Vasteras SK FK
🟨
55'
N. Girmai
Degerfors IF
🔄
56'
E. Barsoum ↔ R. Dzabic
Degerfors IF
🔄
63'
M. Keita ↔ V. Wernersson
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
63'
M. Baggesen ↔ J. Karlsson
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
67'
S. Diatara ↔ M. Diaby
Degerfors IF
🔄
67'
L. Fritzson ↔ D. Vukojevic
Degerfors IF
🟨
69'
R. Dzabic
Degerfors IF
🔄
80'
K. Karlsson ↔ O. Leonardsson
Degerfors IF
🔄
80'
I. Lushaku ↔ J. Magnusson
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
80'
M. Ladefoged ↔ M. Hellisdal
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
90'
M. Diagne ↔ M. Abdi
Vasteras SK FK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds 3.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.75
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.94
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.6%
3.67
BTTS Yes
88%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.94
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Vasteras SK FK Win 36.1%
Draw 10.3%
Degerfors IF Win 53.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasteras SK FK1.68
Degerfors IF1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
WWDLW
35 GF / 33 GA
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
WLDWL
27 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
12
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
13
3.91
Shots on Goal
3.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 20 matches
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF 19 matches
Vasteras SK FK Statistic Degerfors IF
7 Wins 6
5 Draws 5
8 Losses 8
35 Goals For 27
33 Goals Against 30
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
12 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 3
3.91 Shots On Goal 3.18
11.36 Total Shots 11.27
5.18 Corners 4.55
49% Ball Possession 47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vasteras SK FK expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Degerfors IF in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Degerfors IF having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Degerfors IF. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Degerfors IF arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Vasteras SK FK Analysis

So far, Vasteras SK FK have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 15 points from 11 matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 20:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Degerfors IF Analysis

Degerfors IF sit 13 with 10 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 12:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Vasteras SK FK won 3 times, Degerfors IF won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Vasteras SK FK's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
Predicted formations: Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3 / Degerfors IF 4-4-2
Missing players: Vasteras SK FK 4, Degerfors IF 3
H2H summary: Vasteras SK FK wins 3, draws 2, Degerfors IF wins 5
Stats
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
6
1 Corner Kicks 6
15 Fouls 22
1 Offsides 1
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 6
7 Shots insidebox 7
1 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
352 Total passes 486
275 Passes accurate 399
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Vasteras SK FK
Formation
Degerfors IF
Elis Jäger
Elis Jäger
Herman Magnusson
Herman Magnusson
Philip Bonde
Philip Bonde
Madiou Keita
Madiou Keita
Simon Gefvert
Simon Gefvert
Mamadou Diagne
Mamadou Diagne
Ismet Lushaku
🎯
Ismet Lushaku
Marcus Baggesen
Marcus Baggesen
Karl Gunnarsson
Karl Gunnarsson
Mikkel Ladefoged
Mikkel Ladefoged
Taonsa Axel
Taonsa Axel
Matvei Igonen
Matvei Igonen
Daniel Sundgren
Daniel Sundgren
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson
Samba Diatara
Samba Diatara
Nahom Girmai
Nahom Girmai
Bilal Hussein
Bilal Hussein
Kazper Karlsson
Kazper Karlsson
Elias Barsoum
Elias Barsoum
Arman Taranis
Arman Taranis
Ludvig Fritzson
Ludvig Fritzson
Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3
Starting XI
34
Elis Jäger
G
2
Herman Magnusson
D
4
Philip Bonde
D
28
Madiou Keita
↓ 63'
D
11
Simon Gefvert
M
8
Mamadou Diagne
↓ 90' 🟨 39'
M
14
Ismet Lushaku
🎯 54' ↓ 80'
M
3
Marcus Baggesen
⚽ 54' ↓ 63' 🟨 33'
M
5
Karl Gunnarsson
F
9
Mikkel Ladefoged
⚽ 8' ↓ 80' 🟨 38'
F
17
Taonsa Axel
F
Substitutes
21
Victor Wernersson
↑ 63'
M
15
Jonathan Karlsson
↑ 63'
D
30
Mattias Hellisdal
M
19
Jens Magnusson
↑ 80'
M
32
Musab Abdi Mohamud
↑ 90'
M
1
Anton Fagerström
G
24
Jack Tagesson
D
20
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist
D
23
Lucas Sibelius
M
Degerfors IF 4-4-2
Starting XI
38
Matvei Igonen
🟨 6'
G
6
Daniel Sundgren
↓ 46' 🟨 40'
D
7
Sebastian Ohlsson
D
16
Sebastian Ohlsson
D
18
Samba Diatara
↓ 67'
D
22
Nahom Girmai
🟨 55'
M
8
Bilal Hussein
M
4
Kazper Karlsson
↓ 80'
M
20
Elias Barsoum
↓ 56'
M
17
Arman Taranis
🟨 33'
F
14
Ludvig Fritzson
↓ 67' 🟨 39'
F
Substitutes
13
Yiriyon Gideon
↑ 46'
M
23
Robin Dzabic
↑ 56' 🟨 69'
M
2
Mamadouba Diaby
↑ 67'
D
11
Dijan Vukojevic
↑ 67'
F
24
Olle Leonardsson
↑ 80'
F
25
Rasmus Forsell
G
28
Jesús Hernández
D
15
Nasiru Moro
D
19
Alexander Lindgren
M
Last matches: Vasteras SK FK
04.07.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Halmstad
3
1
W
28.06.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
AIK Stockholm
2
3
L
31.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
IFK Goteborg
4
5
L
24.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Malmo FF
3
2
W
17.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
AIK Stockholm
1
1
D
09.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
0
1
L
03.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Hammarby FF
0
3
L
26.04.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
22.04.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
BK Hacken
3
3
D
18.04.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Sirius
1
4
L
11.04.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
IF Elfsborg
2
2
D
05.04.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Kalmar FF
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Sandviken
3
1
W
22.03.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
IF Brommapojkarna
2
2
D
15.03.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Ostersunds FK
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Gefle IF
4
0
W
24.02.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Enköping
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Djurgardens IF
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Daejeon Citizen
0
1
L
Last matches: Degerfors IF
04.07.26
All
Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
0
1
L
26.06.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Lillestrom
3
2
W
31.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
IF Brommapojkarna
2
2
D
23.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
Kalmar FF
1
2
L
16.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
Gais
1
1
D
09.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
Mjallby AIF
1
4
L
02.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
BK Hacken
1
1
D
27.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
23.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
AIK Stockholm
2
1
W
17.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
IF Elfsborg
0
1
L
12.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
Halmstad
3
0
W
04.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
Sirius
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
IFK Norrkoping
3
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Djurgardens IF
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
United Nordic
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Vasteras SK FK
1
0
W
27.01.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Sollentuna
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Sirius
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
AIK Stockholm
3
3
D
H2H: Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF
12.07.26
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
2
0
W
14.02.26
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
0
1
L
08.03.25
H2H
Degerfors IF
Vasteras SK FK
1
0
L
15.07.24
H2H
Degerfors IF
Vasteras SK FK
3
1
L
26.03.24
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
0
0
D
14.03.21
H2H
Degerfors IF
Vasteras SK FK
3
4
W
05.10.20
H2H
Degerfors IF
Vasteras SK FK
4
1
L
21.06.20
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
2
2
D
22.09.19
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
1
0
W
15.06.19
H2H
Degerfors IF
Vasteras SK FK
3
2
L
Last matches: Vasteras SK FK
31.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
IFK Goteborg
4
5
L
17.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
AIK Stockholm
1
1
D
09.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
0
1
L
22.04.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
BK Hacken
3
3
D
11.04.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
IF Elfsborg
2
2
D
28.03.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Sandviken
3
1
W
15.03.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Ostersunds FK
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Gefle IF
4
0
W
24.02.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Enköping
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Djurgardens IF
0
1
L
H2H at home: Vasteras SK FK
12.07.26
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
2
0
W
14.02.26
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
0
1
L
26.03.24
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
0
0
D
21.06.20
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
2
2
D
22.09.19
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
1
0
W
Last matches: Degerfors IF
26.06.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Lillestrom
3
2
W
23.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
Kalmar FF
1
2
L
16.05.26
All
Degerfors IF
Gais
1
1
D
27.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
12.04.26
All
Degerfors IF
Halmstad
3
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Djurgardens IF
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Vasteras SK FK
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
Sirius
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Degerfors IF
AIK Stockholm
3
3
D
H2H away: Degerfors IF
12.07.26
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
2
0
L
14.02.26
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
0
1
W
26.03.24
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
0
0
D
21.06.20
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
2
2
D
22.09.19
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.67
Draw 3.43
Home 2.09
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.24
Draw 2.27
Home 2.69
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.0 1.45
Over 2.25 1.70
Over 2.5 1.94
Over 2.75 2.19
Over 3.0 2.64
Over 3.5 3.30
Over 4.5 6.50
Under 1.5 3.67
Under 2.0 2.81
Under 2.25 2.21
Under 2.5 1.91
Under 2.75 1.70
Under 3.0 1.50
Under 3.5 1.34
Under 4.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 3.30
Home 2.05
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.20
Home 2.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.40
Home 2.30
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.54
Draw 3.34
Home 2.06
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.32
Draw 2.04
Home 2.68
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.72
Draw 2.46
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.13
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 1.75 1.32
Over 2.0 1.41
Over 2.25 1.69
Over 2.5 1.91
Over 2.75 2.15
Over 3.0 2.52
Over 3.25 2.80
Over 3.5 3.12
Over 3.75 3.88
Over 4.0 5.35
Over 4.25 5.75
Over 4.5 6.15
Over 4.75 8.05
Over 5.0 9.40
Over 5.5 12.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 9.70
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 8.10
Under 1.25 4.61
Under 1.5 3.38
Under 1.75 3.02
Under 2.0 2.62
Under 2.25 2.13
Under 2.5 1.86
Under 2.75 1.67
Under 3.0 1.44
Under 3.25 1.34
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 3.75 1.18
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.25 1.07
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 4.75 1.04
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 3.35
Home 1.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.20
Home 2.55
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 2.48
Home 2.35
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.0 1.47
Over 2.25 1.71
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 2.75 2.20
Over 3.0 2.70
Over 3.25 3.00
Over 3.5 3.30
Over 3.75 4.10
Over 4.0 5.60
Over 4.25 5.80
Over 4.5 6.10
Over 5.0 9.00
Under 1.5 3.15
Under 2.0 2.45
Under 2.25 2.00
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 2.75 1.58
Under 3.0 1.40
Under 3.25 1.32
Under 3.5 1.27
Under 3.75 1.19
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.0 1.04

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 2 0 33:15 18 32
W D W W W
2 13 7 2 4 28:14 14 23
W W L L L
3 12 5 5 2 25:22 3 20
L L W D W
4 11 6 1 4 26:15 11 19
W W L L W
5 13 5 4 4 18:12 6 19
W D W L W
6 12 6 1 5 25:20 5 19
W W W L L
7 13 4 6 3 17:14 3 18
L L D D D
8 12 5 3 4 22:23 -1 18
W W L W D
9 12 5 3 4 16:18 -2 18
W W L W D
10 12 4 4 4 19:17 2 16
L D D D L
11 12 4 4 4 17:19 -2 16
L D D W W
12 12 4 1 7 14:17 -3 13
L W L W L
13 12 2 4 6 12:19 -7 10
L L D L D
14 12 2 4 6 14:28 -14 10
L L W D W
15 12 2 3 7 14:31 -17 9
W L D L L
16 12 1 3 8 10:26 -16 6
L L L W D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan

Missing Players

Vasteras SK FK 4 missing
-
F. Nsabiyumva
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Ring
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
A. Boudah
Missing Fixture Lacking Match Fitness
OUT
-
M. Diallo
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Degerfors IF 3 missing
-
J. Pikkarainen
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
N. Girmai
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
Z. Salifu
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT