Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
68.6%
|
- |
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vasco DA Gama
11 matches
Sao Paulo
11 matches
| Vasco DA Gama | Statistic | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 16 | Goals For | 15 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.27 | Shots On Goal | 3.82 |
| 17.18 | Total Shots | 11.27 |
| 5.45 | Corners | 5.91 |
| 52.3% | Ball Possession | 55.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Sao Paulo's more proactive style and Vasco DA Gama's more cautious structure. Sao Paulo seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sao Paulo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sao Paulo. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Sao Paulo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 20 points while Vasco DA Gama sit 13 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Vasco DA Gama are currently 13 in the standings with 13 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 16:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Cauan Barros (3 goals), Thiago Mendes (3 goals), David (2 goals), with creative support from Cuiabano (4 assists), J. Rodriguez (3 assists), Paulo Henrique (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with Jair, Mateus Carvalho, A. Saldivia unavailable.
With 20 points from 11 games and a place of 3, Sao Paulo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 15:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jonathan Calleri (6 goals), Ferreira (3 goals), Luciano (2 goals), with creative support from Marcos Antonio (2 assists), Luciano (1 assists), Danielzinho (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with Lucas Moura, Ryan Francisco, Paulinho, Lucas Ramon, R. Toloi unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 6 times, Sao Paulo won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from Vasco DA Gama's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Vasco DA Gama
5
4
8
4
7
2
Lineups
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Remo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Santos
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Remo
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Santos
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
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| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
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| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
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| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
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| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
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| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
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| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
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| 8 |
Sao Paulo
Away
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
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|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
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| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
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| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
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| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
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| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
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| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
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| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
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| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
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| 17 |
Vasco DA Gama
Home
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
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| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
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| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
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