Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.3%
|
1.95 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
2.04 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.18 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vasco DA Gama
21 matches
Santos
22 matches
| Vasco DA Gama | Statistic | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 23 | Goals For | 32 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.19 | Shots On Goal | 3.71 |
| 17.43 | Total Shots | 13.19 |
| 5.38 | Corners | 5.57 |
| 54.1% | Ball Possession | 49.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Santos. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Vasco DA Gama approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 21 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats with a 23:31 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Andrés Gómez (4 goals), Thiago Mendes (3 goals), Puma Rodríguez (2 goals), with creative support from Puma Rodríguez (3 assists), Cuiabano (2 assists), David (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Santos sit 16 with 22 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 29:33, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Gabriel Barbosa (7 goals), Neymar (6 goals), Álvaro Barreal (4 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (2 assists), Neymar (2 assists), Miguelito (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 5 times, Santos won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:25 from Vasco DA Gama's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Vasco DA Gama
3
5
12
5
4
1
Lineups
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
Botafogo
Santos
União São João
Santos
Vitoria
Santos
Gremio
Santos
Coritiba
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Palmeiras
Santos
Bahia
Santos
Fluminense
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Flamengo
Santos
Remo
Santos
Cruzeiro
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
Botafogo
Santos
Gremio
Santos
Palmeiras
Santos
Bahia
Santos
Flamengo
Santos
Cruzeiro
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45:21 | 24 | 45 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Santos
Away
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 |
Vasco DA Gama
Home
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|