Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.3%
|
1.91 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.93 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.16 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Santos
Mirassol
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santos
23 matches
Mirassol
30 matches
| Santos | Statistic | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 13 |
| 35 | Goals For | 33 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.77 | Shots On Goal | 4.07 |
| 13.09 | Total Shots | 12.43 |
| 5.41 | Corners | 5 |
| 49.6% | Ball Possession | 48.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Santos have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Santos expected to line up in 4-2-2-2 and Mirassol in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mirassol having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mirassol. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Santos sit 17 with 22 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 29:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gabriel Barbosa (7 goals), Neymar (6 goals), Álvaro Barreal (4 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (2 assists), Neymar (2 assists), Miguelito (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Mirassol sit 15 with 23 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats with a 24:30 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Igor Formiga (4 goals), Negueba (2 goals), Eduardo (2 goals), with creative support from Alesson (4 assists), Reinaldo (3 assists), Igor Formiga (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Santos won 4 times, Mirassol won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Santos's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.18 goals per game.
Santos
7
3
7
2
7
0
Lineups
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
Botafogo
Santos
União São João
Santos
Vitoria
Santos
Gremio
Santos
Coritiba
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Palmeiras
Santos
Bahia
Santos
Fluminense
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Flamengo
Santos
Remo
Santos
Cruzeiro
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Flamengo
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Remo
Mirassol
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Gremio
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
Fluminense
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Corinthians
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Internacional
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Bahia
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
União São João
Santos
Vitoria
Santos
Coritiba
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Fluminense
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Remo
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Internacional
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Botafogo
Mirassol
Vitoria
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Remo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44:20 | 24 | 51 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45:21 | 24 | 45 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 44 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 37 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 28:23 | 5 | 35 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 34 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 32 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 30 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23:35 | -12 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 27 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Santos
Home
|
23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 26 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 |
Mirassol
Away
|
23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 24 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:38 | -14 | 22 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 24:46 | -22 | 14 |
W
D
L
D
L
|