BELARUS 1. DIVISION
29.08.2026 12:00
Haradski Stadium
BATE II
Match Timeline
Gomel II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
M. Mardas · Assist: S. Krivorot
Gomel II
35'
M. Mardas · Assist: G. Protasenya
Gomel II
43'
T. Gagloev · Assist: A. Sakhonchik
BATE II
🟨
45'
A. Bondarchuk
Gomel II
🔄
46'
E. Shakhnovich ↔ T. Sargsyan
BATE II
🔄
46'
A. Sakhonchik ↔ M. Telesh
BATE II
🔄
46'
M. Titov ↔ M. Kunskiy
BATE II
🔄
60'
D. Grishkov ↔ N. Starostenko
Gomel II
🔄
62'
T. Gagloev ↔ M. Karpovich
BATE II
🔄
70'
P. Kolosovskiy ↔ E. Nikolaev
BATE II
🔄
73'
S. Krivorot ↔ E. Yudenko
Gomel II
🔄
73'
M. Mardas ↔ M. Glushko
Gomel II
🟨
78'
Gomel II
Gomel II
🔄
79'
G. Protasenya ↔ P. Sergutko
Gomel II
🔄
79'
R. Shapovalov ↔ E. Tishkov
Gomel II
81'
T. Sargsyan · Assist: I. Kuimov
BATE II

BATE II vs Gomel II Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
BATE II Win 32%
Draw 33.7%
Gomel II Win 34.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
BATE II1.53
Gomel II1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
BATE II BATE II
WWDLW
29 GF / 49 GA
Gomel II Gomel II
WLDWL
28 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.33
2.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
15
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BATE II BATE II 21 matches
Gomel II Gomel II 21 matches
BATE II Statistic Gomel II
4 Wins 5
5 Draws 5
12 Losses 11
29 Goals For 28
49 Goals Against 37
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
15 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gomel II having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gomel II. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

BATE II Analysis

BATE II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 17 points from 21 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 29:49 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gomel II Analysis

Gomel II sit 16 with 20 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats with a 28:33 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, BATE II won 3 times, Gomel II won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:5 from BATE II's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (68%)
H2H summary: BATE II wins 3, draws 0, Gomel II wins 0

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 16 3 5 63:30 33 51
W W W L W
2 24 14 6 4 45:24 21 48
W D W D D
3 24 15 3 6 47:38 9 48
W W W W L
4 24 13 5 6 45:29 16 44
L W W L W
5 24 13 3 8 41:34 7 42
D W W W W
6 24 12 4 8 45:30 15 40
D W L W L
7 24 10 4 10 43:37 6 34
L L L W W
8 24 10 4 10 39:41 -2 34
L W L L L
9 24 9 6 9 46:43 3 33
W D L L L
10 24 8 9 7 33:34 -1 33
W W W W L
11 24 9 5 10 41:37 4 32
D L W W L
12 24 9 2 13 35:45 -10 29
L L L D W
13 24 7 6 11 29:34 -5 27
W D L L W
14 24 7 5 12 27:43 -16 26
D L W L L
15 24 6 7 11 24:33 -9 25
L D L W D
16 24 5 6 13 33:47 -14 21
L L D L L
17 24 5 6 13 34:55 -21 21
W L D W W
18 24 5 2 17 25:61 -36 17
L L L W D