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UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
24.10.2026 15:00
Tsentralnyi Stadion

Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Polessya Win 83.5%
Draw 4.6%
Obolon'-Brovar Win 11.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Polessya2.01
Obolon'-Brovar1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Polessya Polessya
WWDLW
73 GF / 35 GA
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar
WLDWL
22 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.52
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
19
BTTS Yes
10
21
Over 2.5
8
2.25
Shots on Goal
1.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Polessya Polessya 29 matches
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar 21 matches
Polessya Statistic Obolon'-Brovar
17 Wins 5
6 Draws 11
6 Losses 5
73 Goals For 22
35 Goals Against 26
2.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
19 BTTS Yes 10
25 Over 1.5 14
21 Over 2.5 8
13 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 9
2.25 Shots On Goal 1.4
7.63 Total Shots 2.8
3.25 Corners 1
21.8% Ball Possession 8.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Polessya's more proactive style and Obolon'-Brovar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Obolon'-Brovar. Polessya come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Polessya expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Obolon'-Brovar in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Obolon'-Brovar having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Polessya arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 19 points compared to Obolon'-Brovar in 13 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Polessya Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 19 points from 8 games, Polessya bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 17:7 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on M. Bragaru (1 goals), V. Veleten (1 goals), with creative support from M. Kravchenko (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Obolon'-Brovar Analysis

So far, Obolon'-Brovar have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 7 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 4:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Kulakovskyi (1 goals), I. Medynskyi (1 goals), with creative support from A. Lomnytskyi (1 assists), N. Fedorivskyi (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Polessya won 5 times, Obolon'-Brovar won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Polessya's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Polessya 4-1-4-1 / Obolon'-Brovar 4-4-2
H2H summary: Polessya wins 5, draws 2, Obolon'-Brovar wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 20:5 15 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
D W W W W
3 7 5 1 1 10:5 5 16
W W W D L
4 7 5 0 2 14:5 9 15
W W W W L
5 8 4 2 2 15:6 9 14
L D W L D
6 9 4 2 3 12:13 -1 14
W W L D D
7 8 3 2 3 7:9 -2 11
W L W D L
8 9 2 3 4 6:11 -5 9
L L W D D
9 8 2 2 4 10:13 -3 8
L W W L D
10 9 1 5 3 7:12 -5 8
L D L D D
11 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L L D W
12 7 1 4 2 5:6 -1 7
L W L D D
13 8 1 4 3 4:12 -8 7
W D L L
14 8 1 2 5 5:11 -6 5
L L D L D
15 9 1 2 6 10:21 -11 5
W L L L L
16 6 1 2 3 7:10 -3 5
L D L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga