Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.2%
|
2.04 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
1.95 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
2.06 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
76.2%
|
1.19 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.20 | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
17.00 |
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vasco DA Gama
19 matches
Mirassol
24 matches
| Vasco DA Gama | Statistic | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 9 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 9 | Losses | 11 |
| 22 | Goals For | 27 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5.37 | Shots On Goal | 4.29 |
| 17.47 | Total Shots | 13.04 |
| 5.16 | Corners | 5.29 |
| 54.2% | Ball Possession | 51% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Vasco DA Gama have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mirassol.
Vasco DA Gama sit 17 with 20 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats with a 22:30 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Thiago Mendes (3 goals), Andrés Gómez (3 goals), Puma Rodríguez (2 goals), with creative support from Puma Rodríguez (3 assists), Cuiabano (2 assists), David (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Mirassol sit 19 with 16 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 18:24, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Igor Formiga (3 goals), Negueba (2 goals), Eduardo (2 goals), with creative support from Alesson (4 assists), Igor Formiga (1 assists), Willian Machado (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 0 times, Mirassol won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Vasco DA Gama's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Vasco DA Gama
4
3
6
4
10
3
Lineups
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Mirassol
Remo
Mirassol
Gremio
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
Fluminense
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Corinthians
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Internacional
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Bahia
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
Botafogo
Mirassol
Vitoria
Mirassol
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Internacional
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Botafogo
Mirassol
Vitoria
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Remo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 47 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 19 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 27 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26:30 | -4 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Mirassol
Away
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 |
Vasco DA Gama
Home
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 19 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
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|