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SWEDEN › ETTAN - NORRA
04.10.2026 11:00
Skytteholms IP
Vasalund
Match Timeline
Arlanda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
8'
K. Bjorklund ↔ N. Debesay
Vasalund
⚽
11'
S. Rydz
Arlanda
⚽
23'
C. Norberg
Arlanda
🟨
25'
Y. Yemane
Arlanda
🟨
41'
I. Antholm
Arlanda
🟨
45+5'
S. Rydz
Arlanda
🔄
48'
S. Rydz ↔ A. Saeed
Arlanda
🔄
62'
E. Mac Callum ↔ F. Lukic
Vasalund
🔄
62'
B. Bilgec ↔ M. Dejene
Vasalund
🔄
62'
S. Rehman ↔ M. Ahmed
Arlanda
🔄
62'
J. Drugge ↔ A. Hansen
Arlanda
🟨
66'
L. Lundvall
Vasalund
⚽
67'
A. Hansen
Arlanda
🔄
69'
P. Soelberg ↔ M. Vucenovic
Vasalund
⚽
72'
M. Ahmed
Arlanda
⚽
76'
C. Sliwo
Vasalund
🔄
77'
I. Antholm ↔ O. Bergstedt
Arlanda
🔄
77'
Y. Yemane ↔ L. Nyman
Arlanda

Vasalund vs Arlanda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Vasalund Win 34.7%
Draw 15.3%
Arlanda Win 50.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasalund1.48
Arlanda1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vasalund Vasalund
WWDLW
51 GF / 61 GA
Arlanda Arlanda
WLDWL
60 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
25
BTTS Yes
20
23
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vasalund Vasalund 33 matches
Arlanda Arlanda 32 matches
Vasalund Statistic Arlanda
11 Wins 15
9 Draws 9
13 Losses 8
51 Goals For 60
61 Goals Against 44
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
25 BTTS Yes 20
30 Over 1.5 23
23 Over 2.5 18
16 Over 3.5 15
6 Clean Sheets 11
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Arlanda's more proactive style and Vasalund's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Arlanda. Arlanda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 42 points while Vasalund sit 13 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arlanda having the stronger overall control. Vasalund have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Vasalund Analysis

Vasalund approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 24 points from 23 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 34:48 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arlanda Analysis

Arlanda come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 42 points after 23 matches. With 12 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:27, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Vasalund won 1 times, Arlanda won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Vasalund's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
H2H summary: Vasalund wins 1, draws 1, Arlanda wins 2

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 19 4 4 64:22 42 61
D W W W W
2 27 15 5 7 52:37 15 50
W L D W L
3 27 14 6 7 53:27 26 48
W L L W L
4 27 14 6 7 47:34 13 48
L L W W W
5 27 15 3 9 42:41 1 48
W W W L D
6 27 13 7 7 44:37 7 46
W L D W D
7 27 12 8 7 41:27 14 44
L W D D D
8 27 11 5 11 39:43 -4 38
W W W L W
9 27 10 5 12 45:48 -3 35
L W L L W
10 27 9 6 12 37:47 -10 33
L D W D L
11 27 9 5 13 33:47 -14 32
D D L L W
12 27 6 10 11 28:37 -9 28
D W L L D
13 27 7 7 13 39:59 -20 28
L D L W L
14 27 5 9 13 34:50 -16 24
D D D W W
15 27 6 4 17 37:58 -21 22
W L D L L
16 27 3 6 18 46:67 -21 15
L L D L L