SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
10.09.2026 17:00
Paskbergsvallen
Varbergs BoIS FC
Match Timeline
IFK Norrkoping
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Gustav Broman
Varbergs BoIS FC
🟨
36'
Isak Vidjeskog
Varbergs BoIS FC
54'
Christoffer Nyman
IFK Norrkoping
🔄
60'
Shanyder Borgelin ↔ Laorent Shabani
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
60'
Jonathan nilsson ↔ Wilhelm Arlig
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
60'
oliver bryneus ↔ Olle Werner
Varbergs BoIS FC
72'
Moutaz Neffati
IFK Norrkoping
🔄
73'
Isak Vidjeskog ↔ Niklas·Dahlstrom
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
77'
Viktor Christiansson ↔ Filip Dagerstål
IFK Norrkoping
🔄
77'
Moutaz Neffati ↔ Fabian Holst-Larsen
IFK Norrkoping
🔄
77'
Alexander Fransson ↔ Axel Vilhelm Lorens Brönner
IFK Norrkoping
🔄
77'
Emil Hellman ↔ Dante Oliver Alfonsi
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
84'
Christoffer Nyman ↔ Tim Prica
IFK Norrkoping
🔄
84'
Ryan Lee Nelson ↔ Isak Andri Sigurgeirsson
IFK Norrkoping

Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds 2.10
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.2%
2.10
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.68
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
2.27
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Varbergs BoIS FC Win 39.5%
Draw 5.4%
IFK Norrkoping Win 55.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Varbergs BoIS FC1.32
IFK Norrkoping1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC
WWDLW
48 GF / 33 GA
IFK Norrkoping IFK Norrkoping
WLDWL
63 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.66
Average Goals Scored
2.03
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
16
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
16
3.26
Shots on Goal
3.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC 29 matches
IFK Norrkoping IFK Norrkoping 31 matches
Varbergs BoIS FC Statistic IFK Norrkoping
16 Wins 21
6 Draws 5
7 Losses 5
48 Goals For 63
33 Goals Against 25
1.66 Avg Goals Scored 2.03
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
16 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 14
7 Failed To Score 3
3.26 Shots On Goal 3.47
5.21 Total Shots 6.47
2.68 Corners 2.63
30% Ball Possession 32.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. IFK Norrkoping look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors IFK Norrkoping.

Varbergs BoIS FC Analysis

Placed 3 with 37 points from 21 outings, Varbergs BoIS FC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 38:27 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Severin Nioule (2 goals), Wilhelm Arlig (1 goals), Shanyder Borgelin (1 goals), with creative support from Wilhelm Arlig (1 assists), Emil Hellman (1 assists), Oliver Silverholt (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

IFK Norrkoping Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 47 points from 21 games, IFK Norrkoping bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 15 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a 41:13 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Tim Prica (3 goals), Elias Jemal (1 goals), Ryan Nelson (1 goals), with creative support from Noel Sernelius (3 assists), Elias Jemal (2 assists), Ryan Nelson (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Varbergs BoIS FC won 2 times, IFK Norrkoping won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:20 from Varbergs BoIS FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Varbergs BoIS FC 4-3-3 / IFK Norrkoping 4-3-3
H2H summary: Varbergs BoIS FC wins 2, draws 1, IFK Norrkoping wins 7

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 25 8 6 11 36:45 -9 30
D L W L D
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 25 7 7 11 33:36 -3 28
L L W D L
13 25 4 12 9 28:35 -7 24
D L L L L
14 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 25 6 1 18 19:53 -34 19
W L L W W
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