Vaprus vs Nõmme United Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
62.2%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
1.44 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.47 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
1.07 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vaprus
30 matches
Nõmme United
32 matches
| Vaprus | Statistic | Nõmme United |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 12 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 15 | Losses | 18 |
| 52 | Goals For | 62 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 79 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.47 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 30 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 20 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nõmme United having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Nõmme United. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
With 27 points from 23 games and a place of 7, Vaprus still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats with a 31:44 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 25 points from 24 games and a place of 8, Nõmme United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 1 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 41:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Vaprus won 7 times, Nõmme United won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:16 from Vaprus's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.91 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 74:20 | 54 | 68 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 17 | 1 | 10 | 56:37 | 19 | 52 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 49:26 | 23 | 47 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 43:35 | 8 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 36:38 | -2 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 40:47 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Vaprus
Home
|
27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 37:52 | -15 | 34 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 8 |
Nõmme United
Away
|
28 | 9 | 1 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 9 | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 31:49 | -18 | 28 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 21:64 | -43 | 18 |
L
D
L
L
L
|