06.09.2026 22:00
Willoughby Community Park Stadium
Vancouver FC
Match Timeline
Supra du Quebec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Matisse Chretien · Assist: Sean Rea
Supra du Quebec
14'
Ibrahim Conde · Assist: David Choiniere
Supra du Quebec
35'
Keesean Ferdinand
Vancouver FC
43'
Lys Mousset · Assist: Tom Field
Vancouver FC
🟨
45+1'
Abzi Diyaeddine
Supra du Quebec
🟨
45+3'
Matisse Chretien
Supra du Quebec
🔄
45'
Z. Fernandez ↔ Eliakim Matthieu Awonongbadje
Supra du Quebec
🔄
63'
Ibrahim Conde ↔ Noah Lauren Trudel dos Santos
Supra du Quebec
🔄
66'
Lys Mousset ↔ Terran Campbell
Vancouver FC
72'
elage bah
Vancouver FC
🔄
73'
Aboubacar Sissoko ↔ S. Mlah
Supra du Quebec
🔄
73'
Abzi Diyaeddine ↔ Thomas Lebeuf
Supra du Quebec
🔄
73'
David Choiniere ↔ Alessandro Simone Biello
Supra du Quebec
🔄
77'
Nicolás Mezquida ↔ Benjamin Lee
Vancouver FC
🔄
84'
Mohamed Amissi ↔ Paris Gee
Vancouver FC
🔄
84'
Damiano Pecile ↔ Aboubacar Traore
Vancouver FC
🟨
87'
Thomas Lebeuf
Supra du Quebec

Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.90
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.52
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.1%
1.90
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
1.52
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
88%
1.43
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Vancouver FC Win 63.1%
Draw 4.1%
Supra du Quebec Win 32.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vancouver FC1.4
Supra du Quebec1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
WWDLW
26 GF / 31 GA
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WLDWL
27 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.74
9
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
11
1.64
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 22 matches
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 19 matches
Vancouver FC Statistic Supra du Quebec
8 Wins 6
3 Draws 4
11 Losses 9
26 Goals For 27
31 Goals Against 33
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.74
9 BTTS Yes 15
14 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 1
10 Failed To Score 3
1.64 Shots On Goal 2
5.55 Total Shots 6.53
2.09 Corners 2.37
20% Ball Possession 25.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Vancouver FC's more proactive style and Supra du Quebec's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Supra du Quebec. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Vancouver FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Vancouver FC Analysis

Vancouver FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 27 points from 20 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 26:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 22 points from 19 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 27:33 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Vancouver FC won 1 times, Supra du Quebec won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:2 from Vancouver FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Vancouver FC 4-2-3-1 / Supra du Quebec 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vancouver FC wins 1, draws 1, Supra du Quebec wins 0

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 5 2 42:13 29 50
D W W W W
2 22 14 4 4 34:16 18 46
D W D L W
3 23 10 4 9 34:39 -5 34
L L D W L
4 23 9 4 10 31:29 2 31
D L W L L
5 23 7 5 11 35:38 -3 26
W W L L W
6 22 7 4 11 31:38 -7 25
W L L W D
7 21 5 8 8 30:46 -16 23
L W D D L
8 22 1 8 13 26:44 -18 11
D L D D W