26.09.2026 23:00
Willoughby Community Park Stadium

Vancouver FC vs Forge Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.8%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vancouver FC Win 56.8%
Draw 3.9%
Forge Win 39.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vancouver FC1.08
Forge1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
WWDLW
31 GF / 37 GA
Forge Forge
WLDWL
35 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
12
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
10
1.76
Shots on Goal
2.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 25 matches
Forge Forge 24 matches
Vancouver FC Statistic Forge
9 Wins 14
4 Draws 5
12 Losses 5
31 Goals For 35
37 Goals Against 20
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
12 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 11
10 Failed To Score 5
1.76 Shots On Goal 2.71
5.96 Total Shots 8
2.52 Corners 3
21.2% Ball Possession 24.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Forge carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 45 points while Vancouver FC sit 4 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Forge. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vancouver FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Forge in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Forge having the stronger overall control. Vancouver FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Vancouver FC Analysis

With 30 points from 22 games and a place of 4, Vancouver FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats with a 30:28 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Bah (2 goals), L. Mousset (1 goals), with creative support from Thomas Geoffrey Field (1 assists), L. Toomey (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Forge Analysis

Forge approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 45 points after 21 outings. With 14 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:15, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Bourgeois (2 goals), H. Massunda (1 goals), K. Bekker (1 goals), with creative support from I. Oketokoun (2 assists), H. Massunda (1 assists), R. Rama (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vancouver FC won 3 times, Forge won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:24 from Vancouver FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Vancouver FC 4-2-3-1 / Forge 4-3-3
H2H summary: Vancouver FC wins 3, draws 3, Forge wins 9

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 5 2 42:13 29 50
D W W W W
2
Forge Away
22 14 4 4 34:16 18 46
D W D L W
3 22 10 4 8 34:37 -3 34
L D W L W
4 23 9 4 10 31:29 2 31
D L W L L
5 22 6 5 11 31:37 -6 23
W L L W L
6 20 5 8 7 29:42 -13 23
W D D L D
7 21 6 4 11 29:38 -9 22
L L W D L
8 22 1 8 13 26:44 -18 11
D L D D W