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17.10.2026 13:00
Referee: E. I. Arnason
Valur Reykjavik
Match Timeline
KA Akureyri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
23'
M. Veldman · Assist: T. Haraldsson
Valur Reykjavik
⚽
30'
A. Palsson · Assist: M. Thordarson
KA Akureyri
🟨
39'
A. Palsson
KA Akureyri
🟨
45'
K. Arnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
⚽
50'
T. Haraldsson
Valur Reykjavik
⚽
59'
D. Gardarson · Assist: T. Haraldsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
61'
J. Arnason
KA Akureyri
🔄
68'
M. Thordarson ↔ V. Saevarsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
75'
A. Palsson ↔ J. Robertsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
75'
J. Pedersen ↔ S. Kristinsson
KA Akureyri
🟨
81'
S. Veseli
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
82'
G. Hrafnkelsson ↔ B. Helgason
KA Akureyri
🔄
83'
J. Palsson ↔ H. Gunnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
87'
S. Veseli ↔ E. Sigurbjornsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
90+1'
L. Heimisson ↔ O. Omarsson
Valur Reykjavik
⚽
90'
D. Gardarson · Assist: T. Haraldsson
Valur Reykjavik

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.3%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.26
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.3%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.25 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.26 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.04 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Valur Reykjavik Win 54.7%
Draw 21.6%
KA Akureyri Win 23.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valur Reykjavik1.83
KA Akureyri1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
L D W W D
12 GF / 10 GA
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri
W W L W D
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.72
Average Goals Scored
1.65
2.1
Average Goals Conceded
2
20
BTTS Yes
16
20
Over 2.5
19
1
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik 29 matches
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 26 matches
Valur Reykjavik Statistic KA Akureyri
10 Wins 8
5 Draws 5
14 Losses 13
50 Goals For 43
61 Goals Against 52
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
2.1 Avg Goals Conceded 2
20 BTTS Yes 16
25 Over 1.5 22
20 Over 2.5 19
16 Over 3.5 11
3 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 6
1 Shots On Goal 0
3.25 Total Shots 0
1.25 Corners 0
17.3% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KA Akureyri. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KA Akureyri having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Valur Reykjavik Analysis

Valur Reykjavik are currently 8 in the standings with 27 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, while the 39:45 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

KA Akureyri Analysis

KA Akureyri sit 11 with 20 points after 22 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 35:48 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Valur Reykjavik won 3 times, KA Akureyri won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:8 from Valur Reykjavik's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.4%)
H2H summary: Valur Reykjavik wins 3, draws 1, KA Akureyri wins 1

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W D W W D
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
L L D L D
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
W W L W L
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L W L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W D W L W
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
L L D L L
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L L L W D
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
W L D W W
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
L W W W L
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
W W L L W
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
L W W L W
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
W L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs