Login Register
JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
24.10.2026 05:00
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win 65.6%
Draw 3.3%
Shimizu S-pulse Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.94
Shimizu S-pulse0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
WWDLW
25 GF / 6 GA
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
WLDWL
10 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
1
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
4
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
4
7.5
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10 matches
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 10 matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Statistic Shimizu S-pulse
7 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
25 Goals For 10
6 Goals Against 11
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
4 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
7.5 Shots On Goal 3.6
20.6 Total Shots 10.9
7.2 Corners 4.9
60.9% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sanfrecce Hiroshima's more proactive style and Shimizu S-pulse's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Shimizu S-pulse in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shimizu S-pulse having the stronger overall control. Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 20 points compared to Shimizu S-pulse in 10 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shimizu S-pulse. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 20 points from 9 games, Sanfrecce Hiroshima bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:6, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Suzuki (7 goals), S. Haller (3 goals), S. Ayukawa (3 goals), with creative support from A. Suzuki (3 assists), S. Higashi (2 assists), M. Kato (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Shimizu S-pulse Analysis

Shimizu S-pulse are currently 10 in the standings with 13 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 8:9 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on Oh Se-Hun (2 goals), T. Fujii (1 goals), Y. Shimamoto (1 goals), with creative support from T. Fujii (3 assists), Y. Shimamoto (1 assists), R. Germain (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 6 times, Shimizu S-pulse won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from Sanfrecce Hiroshima's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.7%)
Predicted formations: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1 / Shimizu S-pulse 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins 6, draws 5, Shimizu S-pulse wins 4

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 25:6 19 23
W W W W L
2 10 7 2 1 25:10 15 23
W W L D W
3 10 7 2 1 21:8 13 23
W W W W W
4 10 7 1 2 17:9 8 22
W L W W W
5 10 7 0 3 22:17 5 21
L W W W L
6 10 6 1 3 21:16 5 19
W W D L L
7 10 4 4 2 21:16 5 16
W L D W W
8 10 4 4 2 13:9 4 16
D D W D W
9 10 5 0 5 17:21 -4 15
W L W L W
10 10 4 2 4 10:11 -1 14
D W W W L
11 10 4 1 5 12:15 -3 13
L L L W W
12 10 4 0 6 12:16 -4 12
W W L L L
13 10 3 3 4 9:16 -7 12
L D D L D
14 10 2 3 5 12:14 -2 9
L L L L D
15 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D D W L
16 10 2 2 6 11:19 -8 8
L L W L L
17 10 2 1 7 11:16 -5 7
L W L L D
18 10 1 4 5 10:18 -8 7
D L L L L
19 10 1 3 6 8:19 -11 6
D D L D W
20 10 0 4 6 4:18 -14 4
L L L D D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League