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18.10.2026 16:30

Valladolid vs Eldense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Valladolid Win 69%
Draw 6.4%
Eldense Win 24.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valladolid1.64
Eldense1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valladolid Valladolid
WWDLW
24 GF / 15 GA
Eldense Eldense
WLDWL
16 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
6
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
10
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valladolid Valladolid 14 matches
Eldense Eldense 15 matches
Valladolid Statistic Eldense
6 Wins 4
4 Draws 2
4 Losses 9
24 Goals For 16
15 Goals Against 23
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
6 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 6
4.67 Shots On Goal 4.56
12.78 Total Shots 13.22
4 Corners 6.44
50.8% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Eldense. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valladolid expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Eldense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Eldense having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Valladolid Analysis

Valladolid approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 9 points from 8 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 8:11 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Juanmi Latasa (2 goals), J. Ponceau (1 goals), Víctor Fernández (1 goals), with creative support from J. Ponceau (2 assists), Víctor Fernández (2 assists), Adrian Arnuncio (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Eldense Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Eldense have collected 11 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 10:11 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jorge Rastrojo (2 goals), Fidel (2 goals), J. Smith (1 goals), with creative support from Jorge Rastrojo (1 assists), Carlos Guirao (1 assists), Marcos Bustillo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Valladolid won 2 times, Eldense won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Valladolid's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Valladolid 4-1-3-2 / Eldense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Valladolid wins 2, draws 0, Eldense wins 0

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 16:5 11 21
W W W W W
2 9 7 0 2 19:10 9 21
L W W W W
3 9 6 2 1 15:4 11 20
L D W W W
4 9 5 2 2 11:4 7 17
W D L W W
5 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
6 9 5 1 3 9:8 1 16
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 15:9 6 15
D D W W L
8 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
L L W W W
9 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W L W L W
10 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
W W L L D
11 9 3 3 3 13:11 2 12
W D W D L
12 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D L D L W
13 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
14 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
15 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L D L L W
16 9 3 2 4 6:14 -8 11
L L L W L
17 9 3 1 5 13:15 -2 10
W D W L L
18 9 3 0 6 14:20 -6 9
L W L W L
19 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L L L W
20 9 1 4 4 11:11 0 7
L W D L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 9 0 1 8 5:20 -15 1
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation