Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Valerenga
24 matches
Ham-Kam
23 matches
| Valerenga | Statistic | Ham-Kam |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 9 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 46 | Goals For | 36 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.64 | Shots On Goal | 4.08 |
| 16 | Total Shots | 10.54 |
| 7.14 | Corners | 4.15 |
| 49.2% | Ball Possession | 46.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valerenga expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Ham-Kam in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ham-Kam having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ham-Kam. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Valerenga are currently 9 in the standings with 17 points from 13 matches. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 19:22 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Lucas Haren (5 goals), Filip Thorvaldsen (3 goals), Mathias Grundetjern (2 goals), with creative support from Henrik Bjørdal (5 assists), Mathias Grundetjern (3 assists), Kolbeinn Finnsson (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Ham-Kam sit 8 with 18 points after 13 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 20:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mame Alassane Niang (5 goals), Henrik Udahl (4 goals), Aksel Baran Potur (3 goals), with creative support from Patrick Metcalfe (3 assists), Martin Gjone (2 assists), Viðar Ari Jónsson (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Valerenga won 2 times, Ham-Kam won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:14 from Valerenga's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Valerenga
4
7
8
5
0
2
Lineups
Valerenga
Aalesund
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga
Brann
Valerenga
Aalesund
Valerenga
Tromso
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
Gais
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
Start
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
Molde
Valerenga
Lillestrom
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
Viking
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
Valerenga
Rosenborg
Valerenga
Sandefjord
Ham-Kam
Brann
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Bodo/Glimt
Ham-Kam
Tromso
Ham-Kam
Sandefjord
Ham-Kam
IFK Goteborg
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
Start
Ham-Kam
KFUM Oslo
Ham-Kam
Molde
Ham-Kam
Brann
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Viking
Ham-Kam
Lyn
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga
Aalesund
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
Gais
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
Lillestrom
Valerenga
Viking
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
Valerenga
Sandefjord
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
Sandefjord
Valerenga
Orgryte IS
Ham-Kam
Brann
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Bodo/Glimt
Ham-Kam
Sandefjord
Ham-Kam
IFK Goteborg
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
Molde
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Haugesund
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43:12 | 31 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40:17 | 23 | 40 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34:20 | 14 | 34 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 25 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 23 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Ham-Kam
Away
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:30 | -6 | 22 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 11 |
Valerenga
Home
|
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 28:34 | -6 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 19 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 15:23 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 27:41 | -14 | 15 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16:38 | -22 | 10 |
L
L
W
L
L
|