NORWAY ELITESERIEN
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Intility Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.8%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Valerenga Win 34.2%
Draw 3.1%
Bodo/Glimt Win 62.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valerenga1.41
Bodo/Glimt2.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valerenga Valerenga
WWDLW
46 GF / 41 GA
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
WLDWL
60 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
2.86
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
14
BTTS Yes
7
15
Over 2.5
16
5.53
Shots on Goal
6.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valerenga Valerenga 25 matches
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 21 matches
Valerenga Statistic Bodo/Glimt
12 Wins 16
4 Draws 3
9 Losses 2
46 Goals For 60
41 Goals Against 16
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 2.86
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
14 BTTS Yes 7
20 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 12
5 Clean Sheets 12
6 Failed To Score 2
5.53 Shots On Goal 6.29
15.73 Total Shots 15.71
6.87 Corners 7.12
48.5% Ball Possession 61.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bodo/Glimt's more proactive style and Valerenga's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bodo/Glimt look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bodo/Glimt. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Bodo/Glimt carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 38 points while Valerenga sit 8 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Valerenga Analysis

Valerenga sit 8 with 20 points after 15 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 22:27 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Lucas Haren (6 goals), Filip Thorvaldsen (3 goals), Mathias Grundetjern (2 goals), with creative support from Henrik Bjørdal (6 assists), Mathias Grundetjern (3 assists), Kolbeinn Finnsson (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bodo/Glimt Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 38 points from 16 games, Bodo/Glimt bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a 41:11 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Kasper Høgh (7 goals), Håkon Evjen (5 goals), Andreas Helmersen (5 goals), with creative support from Kasper Høgh (4 assists), Ole Didrik Blomberg (4 assists), Fredrik Sjøvold (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Valerenga won 1 times, Bodo/Glimt won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:37 from Valerenga's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.9%)
Predicted formations: Valerenga 4-4-2 / Bodo/Glimt 4-4-2
Missing players: Valerenga 2, Bodo/Glimt 4
H2H summary: Valerenga wins 1, draws 2, Bodo/Glimt wins 9
Last matches: Valerenga
31.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
3
L
26.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Brann
3
2
W
16.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Aalesund
6
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Tromso
0
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
Gais
1
2
L
18.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Start
0
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
2
W
08.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
1
L
03.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Molde
1
5
L
19.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Lillestrom
0
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Viking
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
3
3
D
22.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Rosenborg
2
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sandefjord
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
4
3
W
Last matches: Bodo/Glimt
04.08.26
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Union St. Gilloise
3
3
D
31.07.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
4
0
W
26.07.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord
3
0
W
22.07.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Ham-Kam
3
0
W
17.07.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Fredrikstad
1
0
W
12.07.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Bodo/Glimt
Start
4
0
W
28.06.26
Fri
Bodo/Glimt
Molde
4
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Rosenborg
2
2
D
24.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Brann
3
1
W
20.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Start
4
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Tromso
5
0
W
04.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Molde
0
1
L
30.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Start
5
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
2
0
W
18.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Aalesund
3
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
11.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Viking
0
5
L
06.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
0
5
L
H2H: Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt
01.11.25
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
3
1
W
26.07.25
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga
7
2
L
28.09.23
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
2
4
L
24.09.23
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga
4
2
L
04.06.23
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
16.10.22
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
0
6
L
29.06.22
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
0
1
L
18.04.22
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga
5
1
L
04.03.22
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga
0
0
D
16.10.21
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga
0
0
D
26.09.21
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga
1
0
L
20.06.21
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
1
1
D
25.04.21
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
0
0
D
27.09.20
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga
2
0
L
08.08.20
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
2
2
D
Last matches: Valerenga
31.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
3
L
16.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Aalesund
6
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
Gais
1
2
L
29.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
2
W
03.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Lillestrom
0
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Viking
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
3
3
D
15.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sandefjord
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
4
3
W
21.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Sandefjord
5
2
W
30.01.26
Fri
Valerenga
Orgryte IS
4
0
W
H2H at home: Valerenga
01.11.25
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
3
1
W
28.09.23
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
2
4
L
04.06.23
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
16.10.22
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
0
6
L
29.06.22
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
0
1
L
20.06.21
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
1
1
D
25.04.21
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
0
0
D
08.08.20
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
2
2
D
Last matches: Bodo/Glimt
04.08.26
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Union St. Gilloise
3
3
D
26.07.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord
3
0
W
12.07.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
28.06.26
Fri
Bodo/Glimt
Molde
4
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Rosenborg
2
2
D
20.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Start
4
1
W
26.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
2
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
11.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Viking
0
5
L
06.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
0
5
L
24.02.26
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Inter
2
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
06.01.26
Fri
Bodo/Glimt
Groningen
4
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Borussia Dortmund
2
2
D
22.10.25
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Galatasaray
1
3
L
17.09.25
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Slavia Praha
2
2
D
26.08.25
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Sturm Graz
1
2
L
H2H away: Bodo/Glimt
01.11.25
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
3
1
L
28.09.23
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
2
4
W
04.06.23
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
W
16.10.22
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
0
6
W
29.06.22
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
0
1
W
20.06.21
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
1
1
D
25.04.21
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
0
0
D
08.08.20
H2H
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
2
2
D

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 2 2 41:11 30 38
W W W W W
2 15 12 1 2 37:14 23 37
W D W W L
3 16 10 4 2 32:17 15 34
W W W D D
4 15 8 1 6 22:18 4 25
L L W W L
5 15 7 3 5 28:22 6 24
D W L D W
6 16 7 1 8 33:27 6 22
W L W W L
7 15 6 4 5 18:19 -1 22
D W D W W
8 15 6 3 6 23:26 -3 21
W L L L D
9 15 6 2 7 22:27 -5 20
L W W L W
10 15 5 3 7 21:21 0 18
L W W W D
11 15 5 2 8 16:27 -11 17
W L L L W
12 15 4 3 8 13:21 -8 15
L L L D L
13 15 4 3 8 17:26 -9 15
W L L L D
14 15 2 7 6 21:35 -14 13
L D L D D
15 15 3 3 9 13:25 -12 12
L L D L L
16 16 2 4 10 16:37 -21 10
L W L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Valerenga 2 missing
-
M. Sjoeng
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
H. Bjordal
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
Bodo/Glimt 4 missing
-
I. Sjong
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
H. Evjen
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
U. Saltnes
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
A. Mikkelsen
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT