V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.2%
|
3.26 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.68 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.27 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
12.00 |
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
V-varen Nagasaki
6 matches
Nagoya Grampus
6 matches
| V-varen Nagasaki | Statistic | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 7 | Goals For | 7 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.83 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.33 | Shots On Goal | 4.17 |
| 9.83 | Total Shots | 13.83 |
| 3.83 | Corners | 5.67 |
| 45% | Ball Possession | 59.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nagoya Grampus. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
With 4 points from 5 games and a place of 17, V-varen Nagasaki still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 6:11 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Thiago Santana (2 goals), Matheus Jesus (1 goals), K. Yasuda (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Iwasaki (1 assists), H. Yamaguchi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Nagoya Grampus sit 13 with 6 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 6:8, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Y. Asano (1 goals), Y. Kimura (1 goals), M. Ono (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Asano (1 assists), R. Izumi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, V-varen Nagasaki won 3 times, Nagoya Grampus won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from V-varen Nagasaki's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:5 | 13 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 15 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 11 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 9 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 9 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 |
Nagoya Grampus
Away
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 4 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
V-varen Nagasaki
Home
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|