V-varen Nagasaki
Match Timeline
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
95.5%
|
1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.84 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.5%
|
1.25 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
13.00 |
Probability Distribution
V-varen Nagasaki Win 47.3%
Draw 4.5%
Gamba Osaka Win 48.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
V-varen Nagasaki1.3
Gamba Osaka1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
V-varen Nagasaki
WWDLW
4 GF / 9 GA
Gamba Osaka
WLDWL
6 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
2
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
2.25
Shots on Goal
4.75
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
V-varen Nagasaki
4 matches
Gamba Osaka
4 matches
| V-varen Nagasaki | Statistic | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 1 |
| 4 | Goals For | 6 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 2.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 2.25 | Shots On Goal | 4.75 |
| 7.25 | Total Shots | 12.75 |
| 4.25 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 45.3% | Ball Possession | 55.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, V-varen Nagasaki won 3 times, Gamba Osaka won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from V-varen Nagasaki's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4.11 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1 / Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: V-varen Nagasaki wins 3, draws 2, Gamba Osaka wins 4
Standings
J-League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 18 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 14 | 17 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 17 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 13 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 12 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 10 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 |
V-varen Nagasaki
Home
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 16 |
Gamba Osaka
Away
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 6 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
| 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 4 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 4 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League