JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE

02.09.2026 10:00

V-varen Nagasaki

2 - 2

Gamba Osaka

Peace Stadium

Referee: Yoshimi Yamashita, Japan

V-varen Nagasaki

Match Timeline

Gamba Osaka

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 95.5%

Odds 1.30

BTTS

Yes

Probability 78.8%

Odds 1.67

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds 1.84

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	95.5%	1.30	▥
BTTS	Yes	78.8%	1.67	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	1.84	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	83.5%	1.25	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	6.00	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	13.00	▥

Probability Distribution

V-varen Nagasaki Win 47.3%

Draw 4.5%

Gamba Osaka Win 48.2%

Expected Goals (xG)

V-varen Nagasaki1.3

Gamba Osaka1.8

Recent Form (Last 5)

V-varen Nagasaki

WWDLW

4 GF / 9 GA

Gamba Osaka

WLDWL

6 GF / 7 GA

Key Stats

Average Goals Scored

1.5

2.25

Average Goals Conceded

1.75

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

2.25

Shots on Goal

4.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

V-varen Nagasaki 4 matches

Gamba Osaka 4 matches

V-varen Nagasaki	Statistic	Gamba Osaka
1	Wins	1
0	Draws	2
3	Losses	1
4	Goals For	6
9	Goals Against	7
1	Avg Goals Scored	1.5
2.25	Avg Goals Conceded	1.75
2	BTTS Yes	3
3	Over 1.5	3
3	Over 2.5	2
1	Over 3.5	2
0	Clean Sheets	1
2	Failed To Score	1
2.25	Shots On Goal	4.75
7.25	Total Shots	12.75
4.25	Corners	5.5
45.3%	Ball Possession	55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, V-varen Nagasaki won 3 times, Gamba Osaka won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from V-varen Nagasaki's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4.11 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)

Predicted formations: V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1 / Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: V-varen Nagasaki wins 3, draws 2, Gamba Osaka wins 4

Standings

J-League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Machida Zelvia	6	5	1	0	18:5	13	16	W W D W W
2	Vissel Kobe	6	4	1	1	9:4	5	13	W W W L D
3	Kashima	6	4	0	2	13:11	2	12	L L W W W
4	Kashiwa Reysol	6	4	0	2	10:8	2	12	L L W W W
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	6	3	2	1	13:5	8	11	L W D D W
6	FC Tokyo	6	3	2	1	11:8	3	11	W D W W D
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	6	3	1	2	10:8	2	10	W D L W W
8	Fagiano Okayama	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10	W W L D W
9	Cerezo Osaka	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10	D W L W L
10	Kawasaki Frontale	6	2	3	1	12:9	3	9	W L W D D
11	Mito Hollyhock	6	2	3	1	11:8	3	9	D W D W D
12	Urawa	6	3	0	3	12:15	-3	9	W W W L L
13	Gamba Osaka Away	6	1	3	2	8:11	-3	6	L D D L D
14	Nagoya Grampus	6	2	0	4	7:11	-4	6	L L W W L
15	Kyoto Sanga	6	1	2	3	7:11	-4	5	L D W L D
16	Avispa Fukuoka	6	1	1	4	9:10	-1	4	D L L L W
17	Shimizu S-pulse	6	1	1	4	3:7	-4	4	L D L L L
18	V-varen Nagasaki Home	6	1	1	4	7:14	-7	4	L D L L L
19	Tokyo Verdy	6	0	3	3	2:8	-6	3	D L L D L
20	JEF United Chiba	6	1	0	5	5:15	-10	3	W L L L L

Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)

Relegation - J2 League