JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
02.09.2026 10:00
Peace Stadium
Referee: Yoshimi Yamashita, Japan
V-varen Nagasaki
Match Timeline
Gamba Osaka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Ryo Hatsuse
Gamba Osaka
🔄
46'
K. Takahata ↔ S. Yoneda
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
46'
S. Kurata ↔ I. Jebali
Gamba Osaka
🔄
46'
N. Nakatsumi ↔ D. Hummet
Gamba Osaka
🔄
50'
M. Sekiguchi ↔ Matheus Jesus
V-varen Nagasaki
🟨
61'
Yamaguchi Hotaru
V-varen Nagasaki
🟨
66'
Kanta Doi
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
66'
R. Yamada ↔ Diego Pituca
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
66'
Thiago ↔ K. Yasuda
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
68'
T. Suzuki ↔ Y. Yoshihara
Gamba Osaka
🔄
75'
K. Doi ↔ Y. Egawa
V-varen Nagasaki
79'
K. Yasuda
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
82'
R. Hatsuse ↔ S. Nakano
Gamba Osaka
84'
Matheus Jesus · Assist: H. Yamaguchi
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
88'
S. Sasaki ↔ A. Okamoto
Gamba Osaka
90'
D. Hummet · Assist: S. Nakatani
Gamba Osaka
90'
I. Jebali
Gamba Osaka

V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.5%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.84
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.5%
1.30
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.84
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.5%
1.25
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
V-varen Nagasaki Win 47.3%
Draw 4.5%
Gamba Osaka Win 48.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
V-varen Nagasaki1.3
Gamba Osaka1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
WWDLW
4 GF / 9 GA
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
WLDWL
6 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
2
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
2.25
Shots on Goal
4.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 4 matches
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 4 matches
V-varen Nagasaki Statistic Gamba Osaka
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 2
3 Losses 1
4 Goals For 6
9 Goals Against 7
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
2 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
2.25 Shots On Goal 4.75
7.25 Total Shots 12.75
4.25 Corners 5.5
45.3% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, V-varen Nagasaki won 3 times, Gamba Osaka won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from V-varen Nagasaki's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4.11 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1 / Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: V-varen Nagasaki wins 3, draws 2, Gamba Osaka wins 4

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 18:5 13 16
W W D W W
2 6 4 1 1 9:4 5 13
W W W L D
3 6 4 0 2 13:11 2 12
L L W W W
4 6 4 0 2 10:8 2 12
L L W W W
5 6 3 2 1 13:5 8 11
L W D D W
6 6 3 2 1 11:8 3 11
W D W W D
7 6 3 1 2 10:8 2 10
W D L W W
8 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
W W L D W
9 6 3 1 2 5:5 0 10
D W L W L
10 6 2 3 1 12:9 3 9
W L W D D
11 6 2 3 1 11:8 3 9
D W D W D
12 6 3 0 3 12:15 -3 9
W W W L L
13 6 1 3 2 8:11 -3 6
L D D L D
14 6 2 0 4 7:11 -4 6
L L W W L
15 6 1 2 3 7:11 -4 5
L D W L D
16 6 1 1 4 9:10 -1 4
D L L L W
17 6 1 1 4 3:7 -4 4
L D L L L
18 6 1 1 4 7:14 -7 4
L D L L L
19 6 0 3 3 2:8 -6 3
D L L D L
20 6 1 0 5 5:15 -10 3
W L L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League