JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
29.08.2026 09:30
Peace Stadium
Referee: Futoshi Nakamura, Japan
V-varen Nagasaki
Match Timeline
FC Tokyo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Iwasaki Yuto
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
20'
I. Arai ↔ M. Sekiguchi
V-varen Nagasaki
37'
M. Nagakura · Assist: K. Bangnagande
FC Tokyo
45'
S. Homma · Assist: Marcelo Ryan
FC Tokyo
🔄
46'
H. Yamaguchi ↔ K. Yasuda
V-varen Nagasaki
🟨
48'
Takahiro Ko
FC Tokyo
55'
Marcelo Ryan · Assist: M. Nagakura
FC Tokyo
🔄
58'
Y. Iwasaki ↔ N. Campbell
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
60'
K. Bangnagande ↔ K. Hashimoto
FC Tokyo
🔄
60'
S. Homma ↔ S. Anzai
FC Tokyo
🔄
60'
Marcelo Ryan ↔ F. Yamada
FC Tokyo
🔄
67'
M. Nagakura ↔ T. Nakagawa
FC Tokyo
🔄
70'
R. Yamada ↔ Diego Pituca
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
70'
Thiago ↔ R. Kou
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
77'
S. Yoneda ↔ Matheus Jesus
V-varen Nagasaki
🟨
78'
Norman Campbell
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
79'
T. Ko ↔ K. Tokiwa
FC Tokyo
🔄
83'
K. Sato ↔ H. Ishihara
FC Tokyo

V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.90
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.4%
1.28
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.90
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.5%
1.30
HT / FT Home / Home
-
8.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
17.00
Probability Distribution
V-varen Nagasaki Win 50.6%
Draw 8.6%
FC Tokyo Win 40.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
V-varen Nagasaki1.73
FC Tokyo1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
WWDLW
4 GF / 6 GA
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.67
2
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
2.67
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 3 matches
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 3 matches
V-varen Nagasaki Statistic FC Tokyo
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 1
4 Goals For 5
6 Goals Against 7
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
2 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
2.67 Shots On Goal 4.33
8 Total Shots 15.67
3.33 Corners 3.67
43.3% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, V-varen Nagasaki won 2 times, FC Tokyo won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from V-varen Nagasaki's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1 / FC Tokyo 4-4-2
H2H summary: V-varen Nagasaki wins 2, draws 0, FC Tokyo wins 2

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 19:6 13 17
D W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 11:5 6 16
W W W W L
3 7 5 0 2 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
4 7 4 2 1 19:6 13 14
W L W D D
5 7 4 2 1 13:8 5 14
W W D W W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
W W W L D
7 7 3 3 1 13:9 4 12
W W L W D
8 7 4 0 3 14:13 1 12
L L L W W
9 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
D W D L W
10 7 3 1 3 6:11 -5 10
L D W L W
11 7 2 3 2 11:9 2 9
L D W D W
12 7 3 0 4 13:17 -4 9
L W W W L
13 7 2 1 4 4:7 -3 7
W L D L L
14 7 2 1 4 9:14 -5 7
W L D L L
15 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L L D D L
16 7 2 0 5 7:13 -6 6
L L L W W
17 7 1 2 4 9:14 -5 5
L L D W L
18 7 1 1 5 9:11 -2 4
L D L L L
19 7 0 4 3 3:9 -6 4
D D L L D
20 7 1 1 5 6:16 -10 4
D W L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League