Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
84.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
78.3%
|
- |
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UTC Cajamarca
13 matches
Cienciano
12 matches
| UTC Cajamarca | Statistic | Cienciano |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 18 | Goals For | 25 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.08 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.09 | Shots On Goal | 6.36 |
| 13.09 | Total Shots | 15.36 |
| 4.36 | Corners | 5.18 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 51.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cienciano. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with UTC Cajamarca expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cienciano in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cienciano having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cienciano look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Cienciano carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 22 points while UTC Cajamarca sit 9 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
With 15 points from 11 games and a place of 9, UTC Cajamarca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 12:11 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Marlon de Jesús (4 goals), B. Duarte (2 goals), D. Camacho (2 goals), with creative support from M. Lliuya (2 assists), M. Rasmussen (2 assists), Dylan Caro (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Operating from 3 place with 22 points from 11 games, Cienciano bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 22:12 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on C. Garces (9 goals), A. Hohberg (6 goals), N. Bandiera (5 goals), with creative support from A. Hohberg (5 assists), C. Souza Espana (2 assists), G. Aguirre (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, UTC Cajamarca won 3 times, Cienciano won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from UTC Cajamarca's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.31 goals per game.
UTC Cajamarca
4
7
7
5
0
0
Lineups
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Sport Huancayo
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
ADT
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
Cusco
Cienciano
Sport Boys
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Universitario
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
Bolívar
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Sport Huancayo
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Cienciano
Cusco
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Universitario
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 |
Cienciano
Away
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
?
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
?
|
|
| 13 |
UTC Cajamarca
Home
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
?
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