ALGERIA LIGUE 1
22.05.2026 17:00
Stade du 5 Juillet 1962
USM Alger
Match Timeline
Paradou AC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
A. Khaldi
USM Alger
🟨
32'
I. Chetti
USM Alger
45'
M. Ramdaoui
Paradou AC
🔄
46'
A. Tendeng ↔ B. Benzaza
USM Alger
🔄
46'
I. Merili ↔ Z. Draoui
USM Alger
🔄
46'
D. Kamagate ↔ R. Benayad
USM Alger
🔄
46'
Y. Ben Hamed ↔ B. A. Kohili
Paradou AC
49'
G. Likonza
USM Alger
58'
M. Ramdaoui
Paradou AC
🔄
61'
A. Bendouma ↔ S. E. Zaoui
Paradou AC
🔄
61'
↔ M. Tahir
Paradou AC
🟨
74'
I. Azzi
USM Alger
81'
R. Benayad
USM Alger
VAR
86'
USM Alger
USM Alger
🔄
89'
C. Malone Junior ↔ R. Mahrouz
USM Alger
🔄
89'
I. Chetti ↔ A. Abada
USM Alger
🟨
90+6'
M. Reguieg
Paradou AC
🔄
90'
O. Bouzahzah ↔ A. Chegra
Paradou AC
🔄
90'
M. Ramdaoui ↔ M. Bouderka
Paradou AC
90'
R. Benayad
USM Alger

USM Alger vs Paradou AC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 29.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 40.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
29.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
40.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
USM Alger Win 66.6%
Draw 7.1%
Paradou AC Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
USM Alger1.28
Paradou AC1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
USM Alger USM Alger
WWDLW
24 GF / 19 GA
Paradou AC Paradou AC
WLDWL
33 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.18
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
12
BTTS Yes
14
6
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

USM Alger USM Alger 24 matches
Paradou AC Paradou AC 28 matches
USM Alger Statistic Paradou AC
7 Wins 7
12 Draws 3
5 Losses 18
24 Goals For 33
19 Goals Against 48
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
12 BTTS Yes 14
14 Over 1.5 20
6 Over 2.5 14
3 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between USM Alger's more proactive style and Paradou AC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Paradou AC having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Paradou AC. USM Alger have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

USM Alger Analysis

USM Alger approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 33 points from 24 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 12 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 24:19, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Khaldi (5 goals), Z. Draoui (3 goals), A. Alilet (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Paradou AC Analysis

With 24 points from 28 games and a place of 14, Paradou AC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 33:48 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Ramdaoui (8 goals), M. Abdelkader (6 goals), B. A. Kohili (5 goals), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, USM Alger won 7 times, Paradou AC won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:22 from USM Alger's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
H2H summary: USM Alger wins 7, draws 2, Paradou AC wins 6

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 5 5 41:18 23 65
W L D W W
2 30 16 7 7 40:26 14 55
W D D W W
3 30 14 11 5 47:24 23 53
D D W W L
4 30 14 7 9 36:31 5 49
D L W W L
5 30 11 12 7 40:31 9 45
D W W L D
6 30 12 9 9 34:31 3 45
D L L L D
7 30 12 8 10 37:37 0 44
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 41:39 2 43
D D L W L
9 30 11 10 9 35:30 5 43
L D L W D
10 30 8 15 7 34:29 5 39
D D D L L
11 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W W W L W
12 30 9 9 12 30:35 -5 36
L W W D D
13 30 9 7 14 26:31 -5 34
L L L W L
14 30 7 3 20 35:54 -19 24
L L L W W
15 30 4 7 19 18:52 -34 19
D L D L L
16 30 2 11 17 17:40 -23 17
D D L L L
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation