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07.10.2026 00:00
USA
FT
1 - 0
Canada
Allianz Field
Referee: Steven Madrigal, Costa Rica

USA vs Canada H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats
USA
Match Timeline
Canada
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
29'
J. Ellis · Assist: A. Freeman
USA
🟨
31'
Tani Oluwaseyi
Canada
🟨
40'
Giovanni Reyna
USA
🔄
46'
Y. Musah ↔ S. Dest
USA
🔄
46'
G. Reyna ↔ S. Berhalter
USA
🔄
46'
J. Ellis ↔ J. Hall
USA
🔄
46'
S. Eustaquio ↔ M. Choiniere
Canada
🟨
58'
Jonathan David
Canada
🔄
61'
B. Raines ↔ T. Adams
USA
🔄
61'
M. Albert ↔ C. Campbell
USA
🔄
65'
T. Oluwaseyi ↔ D. Jebbison
Canada
🔄
66'
L. Millar ↔ J. Russell-Rowe
Canada
🟨
71'
Malik Tillman
USA
🔄
72'
J. Shaffelburg ↔ P. David
Canada
🔄
74'
A. Trusty ↔ A. Robinson
USA
🔄
74'
M. Tillman ↔ N. Pierre
USA
🔄
74'
G. Campbell ↔ A. Mehmeti
USA

USA vs Canada Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
USA Win 60.1%
Draw 9.7%
Canada Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.7
Canada1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA USA
WWDLW
28 GF / 22 GA
Canada Canada
WLDWL
18 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
8
BTTS Yes
4
9
Over 2.5
4
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

USA USA 12 matches
Canada Canada 12 matches
USA Statistic Canada
7 Wins 6
0 Draws 4
5 Losses 2
28 Goals For 18
22 Goals Against 9
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
8 BTTS Yes 4
12 Over 1.5 8
9 Over 2.5 4
7 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 2
4.33 Shots On Goal 4.5
12.42 Total Shots 12
4.83 Corners 7.17
54.1% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, USA won 3 times, Canada won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from USA's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
Predicted formations: USA 4-2-3-1 / Canada 4-4-2
H2H summary: USA wins 3, draws 2, Canada wins 4