Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
USA Win 0%
Draw 0%
Canada Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.49
Canada1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA
WWDLW
17 GF / 19 GA
Canada
WLDWL
15 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
6
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
4
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.8
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
USA
9 matches
Canada
10 matches
| USA | Statistic | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 0 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 2 |
| 17 | Goals For | 15 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 2.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.9 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.8 |
| 11.89 | Total Shots | 12.2 |
| 5.11 | Corners | 7.8 |
| 52.4% | Ball Possession | 49.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, USA won 3 times, Canada won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from USA's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Predicted formations: USA 3-5-2 / Canada 4-4-2
H2H summary: USA wins 3, draws 2, Canada wins 4
Last matches: USA
07.07.26
Wor
USA
Belgium
1
4
L
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
26.06.26
Wor
USA
Türkiye
2
3
L
19.06.26
Wor
USA
Australia
2
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
Last matches: Canada
04.07.26
Wor
Canada
Morocco
0
3
L
28.06.26
Wor
Canada
South Africa
1
0
W
24.06.26
Wor
Canada
Switzerland
1
2
L
18.06.26
Wor
Canada
Qatar
6
0
W
12.06.26
Wor
Canada
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
05.06.26
Fri
Canada
Rep. Of Ireland
1
1
D
02.06.26
Fri
Canada
Uzbekistan
2
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
Canada
Tunisia
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
Canada
Iceland
2
2
D
18.01.26
Fri
Canada
Guatemala
1
0
W
H2H: USA vs Canada
22.03.25
H2H
Canada
USA
2
1
L
07.09.24
H2H
USA
Canada
1
2
L
09.07.23
H2H
USA
Canada
2
2
D
19.06.23
H2H
Canada
USA
0
2
W
30.01.22
H2H
Canada
USA
2
0
L
06.09.21
H2H
USA
Canada
1
1
D
18.07.21
H2H
USA
Canada
1
0
W
16.11.19
H2H
USA
Canada
4
1
W
15.10.19
H2H
Canada
USA
2
0
L
Last matches: USA
07.07.26
Wor
USA
Belgium
1
4
L
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
19.06.26
Wor
USA
Australia
2
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
H2H at home: USA
07.09.24
H2H
USA
Canada
1
2
L
09.07.23
H2H
USA
Canada
2
2
D
06.09.21
H2H
USA
Canada
1
1
D
18.07.21
H2H
USA
Canada
1
0
W
16.11.19
H2H
USA
Canada
4
1
W
Last matches: Canada
28.06.26
Wor
Canada
South Africa
1
0
W
24.06.26
Wor
Canada
Switzerland
1
2
L
H2H away: Canada
07.09.24
H2H
USA
Canada
1
2
W
09.07.23
H2H
USA
Canada
2
2
D
06.09.21
H2H
USA
Canada
1
1
D
18.07.21
H2H
USA
Canada
1
0
L
16.11.19
H2H
USA
Canada
4
1
L