TUNISIA LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
7 March Stadium
US Ben Guerdane
Match Timeline
ES Tunis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
22'
J. Abcha ↔ W. Abdi
US Ben Guerdane
🔄
22'
M. Ben Hamida ↔ H. Dhaou
ES Tunis
🔄
26'
M. Samb ↔ J. Bida
US Ben Guerdane
38'
H. Rafia
ES Tunis
🔄
46'
A. Amri ↔ I. Touis
US Ben Guerdane
🔄
65'
M. H. Yeken ↔ A. Bouatay
US Ben Guerdane
🔄
65'
A. Ben Mcharek ↔ A. M'Ghezzi Bakhouche
US Ben Guerdane
🔄
69'
F. Danho ↔ A. Jabri
ES Tunis
🔄
78'
M. Ben Ali ↔ M. Debchi
ES Tunis
🔄
78'
H. Rafia ↔ A. Derbali
ES Tunis
🟨
85'
C. Jebali
ES Tunis

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 80.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 80.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
80.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
80.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
US Ben Guerdane Win 19.1%
Draw 0%
ES Tunis Win 80.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
US Ben Guerdane0.52
ES Tunis1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
US Ben Guerdane US Ben Guerdane
WWDLW
18 GF / 21 GA
ES Tunis ES Tunis
WLDWL
44 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.62
Average Goals Scored
1.52
0.72
Average Goals Conceded
0.38
6
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

US Ben Guerdane US Ben Guerdane 29 matches
ES Tunis ES Tunis 29 matches
US Ben Guerdane Statistic ES Tunis
8 Wins 17
11 Draws 9
10 Losses 3
18 Goals For 44
21 Goals Against 11
0.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
0.72 Avg Goals Conceded 0.38
6 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 17
4 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 4
15 Clean Sheets 20
15 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around ES Tunis's more proactive style and US Ben Guerdane's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward ES Tunis. ES Tunis carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 60 points while US Ben Guerdane sit 9 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ES Tunis having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

US Ben Guerdane Analysis

US Ben Guerdane are currently 9 in the standings with 35 points from 29 matches. The record of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 18:21 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. M'Ghezzi Bakhouche (3 goals), A. Taous (3 goals), B. Hakimi (2 goals), with creative support from I. Hadj Khalifa (1 assists), A. Sidiki Leno (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

ES Tunis Analysis

Placed 2 with 60 points from 29 outings, ES Tunis continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 17 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 44:11 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Boualia (8 goals), A. Jabri (6 goals), Yan Sasse (5 goals), with creative support from Yan Sasse (3 assists), K. Boualia (1 assists), Y. Belaili (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, US Ben Guerdane won 0 times, ES Tunis won 10 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:25 from US Ben Guerdane's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: US Ben Guerdane wins 0, draws 5, ES Tunis wins 10

Lineups

US Ben Guerdane
Formation
ES Tunis
R. Gazzeh
R. Gazzeh
G. Abderrazzak
G. Abderrazzak
M. Samb
M. Samb
M. H. Yeken
M. H. Yeken
S. Harrabi
S. Harrabi
A. Amri
A. Amri
A. Ben Mcharek
A. Ben Mcharek
D. Oboh
D. Oboh
J. Abcha
J. Abcha
B. Hakimi
B. Hakimi
N. Chachia
N. Chachia
A. Memmiche
A. Memmiche
M. Ben Hamida
M. Ben Hamida
M. Ben Ali
M. Ben Ali
Y. Meriah
Y. Meriah
A. Konate
A. Konate
H. Jelassi
H. Jelassi
H. Rafia
H. Rafia
H. Tka
H. Tka
K. Boualia
K. Boualia
F. Danho
F. Danho
J. Diarra
J. Diarra
US Ben Guerdane 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
R. Gazzeh
33
G. Abderrazzak
15
M. Samb
↓ 26'
14
M. H. Yeken
↓ 65'
25
S. Harrabi
13
A. Amri
↓ 46'
10
A. Ben Mcharek
↓ 65'
30
D. Oboh
20
J. Abcha
↓ 22'
11
B. Hakimi
9
N. Chachia
Substitutes
31
L. Hammami
3
S. Bouaicha
21
K. Fdhil
17
W. Abdi
↑ 22'
6
J. Bida
↑ 26'
26
I. Touis
↑ 46'
18
A. Bouatay
↑ 65'
7
A. M'Ghezzi Bakhouche
↑ 65'
ES Tunis 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Memmiche
20
M. Ben Hamida
↓ 22'
2
M. Ben Ali
↓ 78'
5
Y. Meriah
21
A. Konate
6
H. Jelassi
24
H. Rafia
⚽ 38' ↓ 78'
8
H. Tka
7
K. Boualia
22
F. Danho
↓ 69'
34
J. Diarra
Substitutes
12
N. Laifi
31
C. Jebali
🟨 85'
18
M. Haj Ali
10
Yan Sasse
23
I. Keita
17
H. Dhaou
↑ 22'
19
A. Jabri
↑ 69'
26
M. Debchi
↑ 78'
A. Derbali
↑ 78'
Last matches: US Ben Guerdane
08.05.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
03.05.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
AS Soliman
0
1
L
30.04.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
JS Kairouanaise
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
US Monastirienne
2
0
W
10.04.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
AS Gabes
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
ES Metlaoui
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
Club Africain
0
1
L
27.02.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
CS Sfaxien
0
1
L
08.02.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
CA Bizertin
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
ES Zarzis
0
0
D
28.01.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
ES Sahel
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
AS Marsa
1
0
W
16.01.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
Olympique Béja
2
2
D
10.01.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
0
4
L
09.11.25
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
Stade Tunisien
1
0
W
04.11.25
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
AS Soliman
1
0
W
01.11.25
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
JS Kairouanaise
2
0
W
29.10.25
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
US Monastirienne
0
0
D
18.10.25
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
AS Gabes
1
1
D
Last matches: ES Tunis
10.05.26
Lig
ES Tunis
Club Africain
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
ES Tunis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
0
W
30.04.26
Lig
ES Tunis
CS Sfaxien
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
ES Tunis
CA Bizertin
1
1
D
23.04.26
Lig
ES Tunis
ES Zarzis
2
2
D
04.04.26
Lig
ES Tunis
ES Sahel
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
ES Tunis
AS Marsa
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
ES Tunis
Olympique Béja
3
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
ES Tunis
ES Metlaoui
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
ES Tunis
Stade Tunisien
1
0
W
17.02.26
Lig
ES Tunis
AS Soliman
3
0
W
27.01.26
Lig
ES Tunis
JS Kairouanaise
1
0
W
19.01.26
Lig
ES Tunis
US Monastirienne
1
2
L
15.01.26
Lig
ES Tunis
AS Gabes
2
1
W
10.01.26
Lig
ES Tunis
US Ben Guerdane
4
0
W
09.11.25
Lig
ES Tunis
Club Africain
0
0
D
06.11.25
Lig
ES Tunis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
4
0
W
02.11.25
Lig
ES Tunis
CS Sfaxien
2
1
W
30.10.25
Lig
ES Tunis
CA Bizertin
2
0
W
22.10.25
Lig
ES Tunis
ES Zarzis
0
0
D
H2H: US Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis
14.05.26
H2H
US Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
0
1
L
10.01.26
H2H
ES Tunis
US Ben Guerdane
4
0
L
25.05.25
H2H
US Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
0
3
L
08.03.25
H2H
ES Tunis
US Ben Guerdane
1
1
D
22.11.24
H2H
US Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
1
1
D
01.06.23
H2H
ES Tunis
US Ben Guerdane
2
0
L
02.03.23
H2H
US Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
1
2
L
22.02.23
H2H
ES Tunis
US Ben Guerdane
4
0
L
26.06.22
H2H
Esperance Tunis
US BEN Guerdane
2
1
L
19.05.22
H2H
US BEN Guerdane
Esperance Tunis
0
3
W
16.03.22
H2H
Esperance Tunis
US BEN Guerdane
0
0
D
03.11.21
H2H
US BEN Guerdane
Esperance Tunis
0
0
D
10.03.21
H2H
Esperance Tunis
US BEN Guerdane
1
0
L
27.12.20
H2H
US BEN Guerdane
Esperance Tunis
0
1
W
08.08.20
H2H
US BEN Guerdane
Esperance Tunis
0
0
D
Last matches: US Ben Guerdane
03.05.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
AS Soliman
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
US Monastirienne
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
ES Metlaoui
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
Club Africain
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
CS Sfaxien
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
ES Zarzis
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
AS Marsa
1
0
W
09.11.25
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
Stade Tunisien
1
0
W
01.11.25
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
JS Kairouanaise
2
0
W
18.10.25
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
AS Gabes
1
1
D
21.09.25
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
0
0
D
13.09.25
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
CA Bizertin
0
1
L
21.08.25
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
ES Sahel
0
0
D
10.08.25
Lig
US Ben Guerdane
Olympique Béja
2
0
W
H2H at home: US Ben Guerdane
14.05.26
H2H
US Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
0
1
L
25.05.25
H2H
US Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
0
3
L
22.11.24
H2H
US Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
1
1
D
02.03.23
H2H
US Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
1
2
L
Last matches: ES Tunis
04.05.26
Lig
ES Tunis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
ES Tunis
CA Bizertin
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
ES Tunis
ES Sahel
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
ES Tunis
Olympique Béja
3
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
ES Tunis
ES Metlaoui
1
1
D
17.02.26
Lig
ES Tunis
AS Soliman
3
0
W
19.01.26
Lig
ES Tunis
US Monastirienne
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
ES Tunis
Club Africain
0
0
D
02.11.25
Lig
ES Tunis
CS Sfaxien
2
1
W
22.10.25
Lig
ES Tunis
ES Zarzis
0
0
D
01.10.25
Lig
ES Tunis
AS Marsa
3
0
W
13.09.25
Lig
ES Tunis
Stade Tunisien
0
1
L
21.08.25
Lig
ES Tunis
JS Kairouanaise
4
0
W
09.08.25
Lig
ES Tunis
AS Gabes
0
0
D
H2H away: ES Tunis
14.05.26
H2H
US Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
0
1
W
25.05.25
H2H
US Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
0
3
W
22.11.24
H2H
US Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
1
1
D
02.03.23
H2H
US Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
1
2
W

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 43:10 33 66
D W W D W
2 30 18 9 3 45:11 34 63
W L W D D
3 30 18 8 4 43:13 30 62
W W W D W
4 30 12 12 6 28:14 14 48
W D L L L
5 30 11 12 7 28:18 10 45
W L L W L
6 30 11 8 11 30:28 2 41
W W W L W
7 30 11 8 11 28:30 -2 41
L W L L W
8 30 9 13 8 19:25 -6 40
D L W W D
9 30 10 6 14 24:33 -9 36
D L L W L
10 30 8 11 11 18:22 -4 35
L D L W W
11 30 11 2 17 26:33 -7 35
D L W W L
12 30 8 9 13 18:29 -11 33
L L L L D
13 30 9 5 16 18:39 -21 32
D W L W L
14 30 9 4 17 20:41 -21 31
D W W L L
15 30 6 9 15 15:31 -16 27
L W W D W
16 30 3 9 18 11:37 -26 18
L L L L D
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation