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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Universidad Catolica
FT
2 - 3
Mushuc Runa SC
Olimpico Atahualpa
Referee: G. Guerrero
Universidad Catolica
Match Timeline
Mushuc Runa SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Diego Palacios
Universidad Catolica
⚽
45'
C. Angulo
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
46'
A. Rodriguez ↔ A. Londono
Universidad Catolica
⚽
48'
R. Carrillo · Assist: E. Davila
Mushuc Runa SC
VAR
49'
Ronie Carrillo
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
57'
S. Yanez ↔ B. Palacios
Universidad Catolica
🔄
62'
L. Moreno ↔ J. Chala
Universidad Catolica
🔄
63'
D. Palacios ↔ E. Valencia
Universidad Catolica
🔄
74'
R. Ibarra ↔ A. Zambrano
Mushuc Runa SC
⚽
80'
A. Zambrano · Assist: T. Minda
Mushuc Runa SC
⚽
85'
M. Diaz · Assist: A. Londono
Universidad Catolica
⚽
88'
A. Londono · Assist: M. Diaz
Universidad Catolica
🔄
89'
T. Minda ↔ F. Carabali
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
89'
R. Carrillo ↔ E. Caicedo
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
89'
C. Angulo ↔ D. Merino
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
90+5'
Byron Palacios
Universidad Catolica

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Universidad Catolica Win 82.2%
Draw 6%
Mushuc Runa SC Win 11.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad Catolica1.5
Mushuc Runa SC1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
WWDLW
31 GF / 21 GA
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
WLDWL
19 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
10
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
8
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 19 matches
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 16 matches
Universidad Catolica Statistic Mushuc Runa SC
8 Wins 4
5 Draws 6
6 Losses 6
31 Goals For 19
21 Goals Against 21
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
10 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 4
4.5 Shots On Goal 3.56
13.06 Total Shots 12.25
4.72 Corners 4.5
57.3% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universidad Catolica won 7 times, Mushuc Runa SC won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:18 from Universidad Catolica's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1 / Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Universidad Catolica wins 7, draws 5, Mushuc Runa SC wins 3
Stats
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
7 Corner Kicks 1
17 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 1
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Goal 6
6 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 9
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
534 Total passes 262
477 Passes accurate 201
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Universidad Catolica
Formation
Mushuc Runa SC
J. Lara
J. Lara
G. Anangono
G. Anangono
L. Canga
L. Canga
Jhon Chancellor
Jhon Chancellor
D. Palacios
↓
D. Palacios
J. Cacciabue
J. Cacciabue
L. Moreno
↓
L. Moreno
A. Rodriguez
↓
A. Rodriguez
M. Diaz
⚽ 🎯
M. Diaz
M. Alonso
M. Alonso
S. Yanez
↓
S. Yanez
R. Formento
R. Formento
K. Peralta
K. Peralta
F. Flor
F. Flor
J. L. Mancilla Quinones
J. L. Mancilla Quinones
J. Cusme
J. Cusme
C. Angulo
⚽ ↓
C. Angulo
E. Davila
🎯
E. Davila
L. Lemos
L. Lemos
T. Minda
🎯 ↓
T. Minda
R. Ibarra
↓
R. Ibarra
R. Carrillo
⚽ ↓
R. Carrillo
Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
J. Lara
G
29
G. Anangono
D
33
L. Canga
D
4
Jhon Chancellor
D
6
D. Palacios
↓ 63' 🟨 23'
D
5
J. Cacciabue
M
15
L. Moreno
↓ 62'
M
23
A. Rodriguez
↓ 46'
M
28
M. Diaz
⚽ 85' 🎯 88'
M
32
M. Alonso
M
26
S. Yanez
↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
22
R. Romo
G
1
L. Cueva
G
9
A. Londono
⚽ 88' 🎯 85' ↑ 46'
F
37
C. Medina
D
19
M. Sevillano
M
24
D. Nazareno
44
E. Valencia
↑ 63'
D
18
B. Palacios
↑ 57' 🟨 90+5'
F
17
R. Troya
M
20
J. Chala
↑ 62'
M
Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
Starting XI
25
R. Formento
G
26
K. Peralta
D
2
F. Flor
D
37
J. L. Mancilla Quinones
D
50
J. Cusme
D
99
C. Angulo
⚽ 45' ↓ 89'
M
5
E. Davila
🎯 48'
M
23
L. Lemos
M
7
T. Minda
🎯 80' ↓ 89'
M
30
R. Ibarra
↓ 74'
F
9
R. Carrillo
⚽ 48' ↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
42
W. Pabon
G
12
F. Carabali
↑ 89'
D
8
A. Zambrano
⚽ 80' ↑ 74'
M
14
E. Caicedo
↑ 89'
F
33
J. Hernandez
D
52
D. Merino
↑ 89'
M
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
01.08.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
5
0
W
27.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
22.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
18.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
15.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
10.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
31.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
0
1
L
23.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
2
1
W
16.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
1
2
L
01.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
27.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Macara
4
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
2
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
09.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
4
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
01.08.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
2
1
W
27.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
0
2
L
24.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
1
1
D
20.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
1
W
14.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
1
2
L
11.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
4
L
31.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
23.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
17.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
12.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
07.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
2
2
D
22.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
2
0
W
19.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
H2H: Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC
06.07.26
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
2
3
L
01.03.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
05.07.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
09.03.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
31.08.24
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
5
1
W
22.05.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
2
1
L
25.11.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
0
2
W
10.06.23
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
3
2
W
09.07.22
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
19.02.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
W
23.10.21
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
09.05.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
2
6
W
23.11.20
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
26.08.20
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
W
28.09.19
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
01.08.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
5
0
W
22.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
15.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
16.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
2
2
D
01.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
24.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Macara
4
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
2
0
W
09.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
4
1
W
17.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
3
0
W
13.02.26
CON
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
3
4
L
H2H at home: Universidad Catolica
06.07.26
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
2
3
L
09.03.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
31.08.24
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
5
1
W
10.06.23
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
3
2
W
09.07.22
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
23.10.21
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
23.11.20
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
01.08.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
2
1
W
24.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
1
1
D
14.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
2
2
D
19.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
1
D
H2H away: Mushuc Runa SC
06.07.26
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
2
3
W
09.03.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
31.08.24
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
5
1
L
10.06.23
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
3
2
L
09.07.22
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
L
23.10.21
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
W
23.11.20
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Independiente del Valle
23 19 1 3 56:22 34 58
W W W W W
2
Universidad Catolica Home
23 11 6 6 38:19 19 39
W D W W W
3
Macara
23 11 5 7 30:23 7 38
W W W L W
4
Aucas
23 11 5 7 26:25 1 38
W L L W L
5
Barcelona SC
23 9 8 6 24:18 6 35
D L L W D
6
LDU de Quito
23 10 5 8 23:18 5 35
W W D L L
7
Leones del Norte
23 8 8 7 24:22 2 32
D W D W D
8
Deportivo Cuenca
23 9 4 10 21:28 -7 31
L W L L D
9
Libertad
23 8 6 9 24:26 -2 30
W W W L W
10
Mushuc Runa SC Away
23 7 7 9 29:34 -5 28
W L D W L
11
Guayaquil City FC
23 7 7 9 20:25 -5 28
L D D W D
12
Orense SC
23 7 5 11 27:35 -8 26
L L W L L
13
Tecnico Universitario
23 8 2 13 20:29 -9 26
L W L L L
14
Emelec
23 7 7 9 19:28 -9 25
L L D L W
15
Delfin SC
23 6 5 12 14:23 -9 23
L L L W W
16
Manta FC
23 3 5 15 9:29 -20 14
L L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs