Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
81.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Union St. Gilloise
44 matches
KV Mechelen
36 matches
| Union St. Gilloise | Statistic | KV Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wins | 13 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 66 | Goals For | 44 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.2 | Shots On Goal | 3.64 |
| 14.3 | Total Shots | 9.92 |
| 5.32 | Corners | 4.69 |
| 48.8% | Ball Possession | 49.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KV Mechelen. Union St. Gilloise arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 66 points compared to KV Mechelen in 5 on 45, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union St. Gilloise expected to line up in 3-4-3 and KV Mechelen in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KV Mechelen having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. KV Mechelen arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Operating from 1 place with 66 points from 30 games, Union St. Gilloise bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 19 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 50:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Rodriguez (9 goals), P. David (9 goals), R. Florucz (7 goals), with creative support from A. Zorgane (4 assists), A. Khalaili (4 assists), A. Ait El Hadj (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
KV Mechelen approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 45 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 39:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. van Brederode (7 goals), L. Lauberbach (6 goals), K. Mrabti (5 goals), with creative support from P. Pflucke (8 assists), Rob Schoofs (5 assists), M. van Brederode (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 7 times, KV Mechelen won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from Union St. Gilloise's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Union St. Gilloise
6
1
6
4
2
0
Lineups
Union St. Gilloise
Patro Eisden
Union St. Gilloise
PSV Eindhoven
Union St. Gilloise
Aarhus
Union St. Gilloise
FCSB
Union St. Gilloise
Diegem Sport
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
Dender
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
Union St. Gilloise
KVC Westerlo
Union St. Gilloise
Antwerp
Union St. Gilloise
Standard Liege
KV Mechelen
Willem II
KV Mechelen
ADO Den Haag
KV Mechelen
Heist
KV Mechelen
Sporting Hasselt
KV Mechelen
Rupel Boom
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
Gent
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
Gent
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
Gent
KV Mechelen
Zulte Waregem
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KV Mechelen
Genk
Union St. Gilloise
Patro Eisden
Union St. Gilloise
Aarhus
Union St. Gilloise
FCSB
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
Dender
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
Union St. Gilloise
Antwerp
Union St. Gilloise
RAAL La Louvière
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Union St. Gilloise
Atalanta
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
Zulte Waregem
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Cercle Brugge
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
Inter
KV Mechelen
Willem II
KV Mechelen
Heist
KV Mechelen
Sporting Hasselt
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
KV Mechelen
Gent
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
KV Mechelen
Gent
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KV Mechelen
OH Leuven
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
Genk
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
Dender
KV Mechelen
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
Standard Liege
KV Mechelen
Antwerp
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 91:45 | 46 | 57 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Union St. Gilloise
Home
|
40 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 66:27 | 39 | 53 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
| 3 | 40 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 61:46 | 15 | 43 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 59:62 | -3 | 33 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 53:57 | -4 | 29 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
KV Mechelen
Away
|
40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 48:61 | -13 | 29 |
L
D
D
L
W
|