Union Santa Fe vs Independiente Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
43.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Union Santa Fe
29 matches
Independiente
29 matches
| Union Santa Fe | Statistic | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 12 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 11 | Losses | 9 |
| 44 | Goals For | 39 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.04 | Shots On Goal | 4.04 |
| 15.48 | Total Shots | 13.23 |
| 4.63 | Corners | 6.04 |
| 48.8% | Ball Possession | 52.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union Santa Fe expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Independiente in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Independiente. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
So far, Union Santa Fe have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 21 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 24:20 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Tarragona (7 goals), L. Menossi (4 goals), A. Colazo (3 goals), with creative support from Julián Palacios (4 assists), C. Tarragona (1 assists), L. Menossi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Independiente arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 24 points after 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 24:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gabriel Ávalos (4 goals), Maximiliano Gutiérrez (3 goals), Lautaro Millán (3 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Ávalos (2 assists), Maximiliano Gutiérrez (2 assists), M. Abaldo (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Union Santa Fe won 2 times, Independiente won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:20 from Union Santa Fe's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 16 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 16 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
Independiente
Away
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 14 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
| 7 |
Union Santa Fe
Home
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
L
L
D
L
L
|