Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Union Santa Fe Win 0%
Draw 0%
Independiente Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Santa Fe1.32
Independiente1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Santa Fe
WWDLW
36 GF / 34 GA
Independiente
WLDWL
37 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
14
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
10
5.13
Shots on Goal
3.83
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Union Santa Fe
26 matches
Independiente
26 matches
| Union Santa Fe | Statistic | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 11 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 36 | Goals For | 37 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.13 | Shots On Goal | 3.83 |
| 15.83 | Total Shots | 12.35 |
| 4.88 | Corners | 5.57 |
| 49.5% | Ball Possession | 49.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Union Santa Fe won 2 times, Independiente won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:20 from Union Santa Fe's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Union Santa Fe 4-1-3-2 / Independiente 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Union Santa Fe wins 2, draws 6, Independiente wins 6
Last matches: Union Santa Fe
21.08.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
3
1
W
15.08.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
11.08.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
2
L
06.08.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
2
1
W
01.08.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
0
2
L
25.07.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Platense
2
2
D
22.05.26
Cop
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
2
L
12.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Belgrano Cordoba
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
1
1
D
27.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
2
2
D
17.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
2
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Deportivo Riestra
2
0
W
31.03.26
Cop
Union Santa Fe
Agropecuario
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
0
2
L
16.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
10.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
4
4
D
01.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Instituto Cordoba
2
1
W
26.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
3
1
W
Last matches: Independiente
22.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
0
0
D
17.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Lanus
3
1
W
12.08.26
Cop
Independiente
Atletico Tucuman
0
4
L
09.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Platense
0
1
L
03.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
31.07.26
Lig
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
1
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
2
0
W
22.05.26
Cop
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independiente
Rosario Central
1
3
L
02.05.26
Lig
Independiente
San Lorenzo
2
1
W
24.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Racing Club
1
0
W
27.03.26
Cop
Independiente
Atenas
4
2
W
21.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
17.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
4
4
D
28.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
H2H: Union Santa Fe vs Independiente
22.05.26
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
2
L
10.03.26
H2H
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
4
4
D
06.11.24
H2H
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
3
0
L
24.06.23
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
3
0
W
19.09.22
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
1
L
26.10.21
H2H
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
1
0
L
25.04.21
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
0
D
29.04.20
H2H
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
0
0
D
30.10.19
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
2
2
D
09.02.19
H2H
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
2
1
L
12.05.18
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
1
0
W
23.06.17
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
3
L
14.03.15
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
1
1
D
05.04.14
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
0
D
24.10.13
H2H
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
1
1
D
Last matches: Union Santa Fe
11.08.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
2
L
06.08.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
2
1
W
22.05.26
Cop
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
1
1
D
17.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
2
3
L
03.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Deportivo Riestra
2
0
W
31.03.26
Cop
Union Santa Fe
Agropecuario
2
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
23.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
03.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
4
0
W
22.01.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Platense
0
0
D
H2H at home: Union Santa Fe
22.05.26
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
2
L
24.06.23
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
3
0
W
19.09.22
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
1
L
25.04.21
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
0
D
30.10.19
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
2
2
D
12.05.18
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
1
0
W
23.06.17
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
3
L
14.03.15
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
1
1
D
05.04.14
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
0
D
Last matches: Independiente
17.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Lanus
3
1
W
12.08.26
Cop
Independiente
Atletico Tucuman
0
4
L
03.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
26.07.26
Lig
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
2
0
W
22.05.26
Cop
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independiente
Rosario Central
1
3
L
02.05.26
Lig
Independiente
San Lorenzo
2
1
W
24.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
25.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
2
3
L
08.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Platense
1
0
W
28.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
H2H away: Independiente
22.05.26
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
2
W
24.06.23
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
3
0
L
19.09.22
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
1
W
25.04.21
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
0
D
30.10.19
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
2
2
D
12.05.18
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
1
0
L
23.06.17
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
3
W
14.03.15
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
1
1
D
05.04.14
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
0
D
Standings
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
Independiente
Away
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Union Santa Fe
Home
|
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
Knockout Phase