11.08.2026 00:15
Estadio 15 de Abril
Referee: N. Arasa
Union Santa Fe
Match Timeline
Central Cordoba de Santiago
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
L. Menossi · Assist: J. Palacios
Union Santa Fe
51'
M. Santos
Central Cordoba de Santiago
54'
F. Mansilla · Assist: L. Sequeira
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
61'
M. Aguirre ↔ M. Estigarribia
Union Santa Fe
🟨
63'
Lautaro Vargas
Union Santa Fe
🔄
65'
F. Mansilla ↔ Y. Casermeiro
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
68'
L. Vargas ↔ J. Pintado
Union Santa Fe
🔄
68'
J. Mosqueira ↔ M. Luna Diale
Union Santa Fe
🟨
69'
Leonardo Sequeira
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
71'
L. Sequeira ↔ S. Moyano
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
71'
L. Gonzalez ↔ T. Cravero
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🟨
76'
Horacio Tijanovich
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🟨
79'
Lucas Menossi
Union Santa Fe
🔄
87'
D. Barrera ↔ M. Iacobellis
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
87'
M. Santos ↔ E. Naya
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🟨
90+1'
Julián Palacios
Union Santa Fe
🟨
90+7'
Santiago Moyano
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🟨
90+2'
Yuri Casermeiro
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
90+1'
L. Menossi ↔ E. Ramirez
Union Santa Fe

Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
2 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.5%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Union Santa Fe Win 79.5%
Draw 7.8%
Central Cordoba de Santiago Win 12.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Santa Fe1.35
Central Cordoba de Santiago0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
WWDLW
32 GF / 30 GA
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago
WLDWL
14 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
0.7
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
12
BTTS Yes
5
11
Over 2.5
5
5.14
Shots on Goal
2.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 23 matches
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 20 matches
Union Santa Fe Statistic Central Cordoba de Santiago
8 Wins 5
7 Draws 5
8 Losses 10
32 Goals For 14
30 Goals Against 26
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
12 BTTS Yes 5
19 Over 1.5 10
11 Over 2.5 5
6 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 11
5.14 Shots On Goal 2.53
15.9 Total Shots 8.21
5 Corners 2.89
48.8% Ball Possession 39.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Union Santa Fe's more proactive style and Central Cordoba de Santiago's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Central Cordoba de Santiago. Central Cordoba de Santiago arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Union Santa Fe Analysis

Union Santa Fe are currently 8 in the standings with 21 points from 16 matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 24:20 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Cristian Tarragona (2 goals), Marcelo Estigarribia (2 goals), Julián Palacios (1 goals), with creative support from Julián Palacios (3 assists), Lautaro Vargas (1 assists), Mateo Del Blanco (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Central Cordoba de Santiago Analysis

With 16 points from 16 games and a place of 13, Central Cordoba de Santiago still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 11:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Diego Barrera (2 goals), Michael Santos (1 goals), Alejandro Maciel (1 goals), with creative support from Michael Santos (2 assists), Alejandro Maciel (1 assists), Matías Vera (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Union Santa Fe won 2 times, Central Cordoba de Santiago won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:18 from Union Santa Fe's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Union Santa Fe 4-4-2 / Central Cordoba de Santiago 4-4-2
H2H summary: Union Santa Fe wins 2, draws 2, Central Cordoba de Santiago wins 7

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L D L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W W D W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W D W D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L W L D D
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W D W L D
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W W L D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
L D W L D
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L W W W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W W L W D
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
D W L W W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
D L D W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L L D L W
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
D L L D L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
W D D D W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D L D D D
Knockout Phase