BELARUS 1. DIVISION
15.08.2026 14:00
Dinamo-Yuni Stadium
Uni Minsk
Match Timeline
Orsha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
0'
Orsha
Orsha
🟨
0'
Orsha
Orsha
🟨
13'
V. Urbanovich
Uni Minsk
🔄
46'
D. Tikhomirov ↔ M. Pashkevich
Orsha
🔄
63'
D. Zinovich ↔ D. Turovets
Uni Minsk
🔄
63'
D. Lapin ↔ D. Narchuk
Uni Minsk
🔄
63'
E. Sakuta ↔ O. Patotskiy
Uni Minsk
🔄
72'
D. Khalimonchikov ↔ V. Popov
Uni Minsk
🔄
73'
E. Kudinov ↔ I. Berezun
Orsha
🟨
76'
M. Pashkevich
Orsha
🔄
78'
R. Yamlikhanov ↔ E. Semenov
Uni Minsk
🔄
89'
D. Stain ↔ N. Volchenko
Orsha

Uni Minsk vs Orsha Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Uni Minsk Win 49.6%
Draw 14.8%
Orsha Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Uni Minsk1.29
Orsha1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Uni Minsk Uni Minsk
WWDLW
17 GF / 27 GA
Orsha Orsha
WLDWL
21 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.9
7
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Uni Minsk Uni Minsk 19 matches
Orsha Orsha 20 matches
Uni Minsk Statistic Orsha
5 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
9 Losses 11
17 Goals For 21
27 Goals Against 38
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.9
7 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 1
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Orsha having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Orsha. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Uni Minsk Analysis

So far, Uni Minsk have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 19 points from 18 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 17:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Orsha Analysis

So far, Orsha have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 21 points from 17 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 21:30 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Uni Minsk won 1 times, Orsha won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Uni Minsk's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
H2H summary: Uni Minsk wins 1, draws 2, Orsha wins 1

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 16 3 5 63:30 33 51
W W W L W
2 24 14 6 4 45:24 21 48
W D W D D
3 24 15 3 6 47:38 9 48
W W W W L
4 24 13 5 6 45:29 16 44
L W W L W
5 24 13 3 8 41:34 7 42
D W W W W
6 24 12 4 8 45:30 15 40
D W L W L
7 24 10 4 10 43:37 6 34
L L L W W
8 24 10 4 10 39:41 -2 34
L W L L L
9 24 9 6 9 46:43 3 33
W D L L L
10 24 8 9 7 33:34 -1 33
W W W W L
11 24 9 5 10 41:37 4 32
D L W W L
12 24 9 2 13 35:45 -10 29
L L L D W
13 24 7 6 11 29:34 -5 27
W D L L W
14
Orsha Away
24 7 5 12 27:43 -16 26
D L W L L
15 24 6 7 11 24:33 -9 25
L D L W D
16 24 5 6 13 33:47 -14 21
L L D L L
17 24 5 6 13 34:55 -21 21
W L D W W
18 24 5 2 17 25:61 -36 17
L L L W D