BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Dinamo-Yuni Stadium
Uni Minsk
Match Timeline
Orsha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
0'
Orsha
Orsha
🟨
0'
Orsha
Orsha
🟨
13'
V. Urbanovich
Uni Minsk
🔄
46'
D. Tikhomirov ↔ M. Pashkevich
Orsha
🔄
63'
D. Zinovich ↔ D. Turovets
Uni Minsk
🔄
63'
D. Lapin ↔ D. Narchuk
Uni Minsk
🔄
63'
E. Sakuta ↔ O. Patotskiy
Uni Minsk
🔄
72'
D. Khalimonchikov ↔ V. Popov
Uni Minsk
🔄
73'
E. Kudinov ↔ I. Berezun
Orsha
🟨
76'
M. Pashkevich
Orsha
🔄
78'
R. Yamlikhanov ↔ E. Semenov
Uni Minsk
🔄
89'
D. Stain ↔ N. Volchenko
Orsha

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Uni Minsk Win 49.6%
Draw 14.8%
Orsha Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Uni Minsk1.29
Orsha1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Uni Minsk Uni Minsk
WWDLW
17 GF / 27 GA
Orsha Orsha
WLDWL
21 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.9
7
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Uni Minsk Uni Minsk 19 matches
Orsha Orsha 20 matches
Uni Minsk Statistic Orsha
5 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
9 Losses 11
17 Goals For 21
27 Goals Against 38
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.9
7 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 1
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Orsha having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Orsha. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Uni Minsk Analysis

So far, Uni Minsk have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 19 points from 18 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 17:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Orsha Analysis

So far, Orsha have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 21 points from 17 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 21:30 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Uni Minsk won 1 times, Orsha won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Uni Minsk's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
H2H summary: Uni Minsk wins 1, draws 2, Orsha wins 1

Lineups

Uni Minsk
Formation
Orsha
M. Kovruk
M. Kovruk
E. Sakuta
E. Sakuta
B. Gusev
B. Gusev
R. Yamlikhanov
R. Yamlikhanov
D. Zinovich
D. Zinovich
V. Kiselev
V. Kiselev
D. Khalimonchikov
D. Khalimonchikov
V. Urbanovich
V. Urbanovich
D. Lapin
D. Lapin
E. Snapkov
E. Snapkov
M. Svidinskiy
M. Svidinskiy
A. Volodkov
A. Volodkov
N. Bykov
N. Bykov
N. Tarbyakov
N. Tarbyakov
N. Bobchenok
N. Bobchenok
D. Tikhomirov
D. Tikhomirov
A. Alexandrovich
A. Alexandrovich
D. Stain
D. Stain
E. Kudinov
E. Kudinov
G. Zheleznikov
G. Zheleznikov
V. Shalychev
V. Shalychev
P. Bordukov
P. Bordukov
Uni Minsk 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
35
M. Kovruk
8
E. Sakuta
↓ 63'
9
B. Gusev
14
R. Yamlikhanov
↓ 78'
22
D. Zinovich
↓ 63'
29
V. Kiselev
30
D. Khalimonchikov
↓ 72'
32
V. Urbanovich
🟨 13'
33
D. Lapin
↓ 63'
69
E. Snapkov
98
M. Svidinskiy
Substitutes
1
R. Babaev
3
D. Turovets
↑ 63'
5
P. Vakulich
7
D. Narchuk
↑ 63'
10
E. Semenov
↑ 78'
11
V. Popov
↑ 72'
39
O. Patotskiy
↑ 63'
42
M. Volodko
91
E. Radkov
95
I. Vorobyov
Orsha 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Volodkov
3
N. Bykov
5
N. Tarbyakov
7
N. Bobchenok
9
D. Tikhomirov
↓ 46'
10
A. Alexandrovich
11
D. Stain
↓ 89'
22
E. Kudinov
↓ 73'
77
G. Zheleznikov
82
V. Shalychev
93
P. Bordukov
Substitutes
52
R. Kravchenko
8
I. Berezun
↑ 73'
13
D. Strebtsov
14
A. Dambrovsky
16
M. Pashkevich
↑ 46' 🟨 76'
17
Y. Kulesh
18
N. Volchenko
↑ 89'
69
S. Bulakhov
80
Y. Komarov
88
D. Rudenok
Last matches: Uni Minsk
23.08.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Gomel II
4
0
W
10.08.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Volna
0
0
D
05.08.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Smorgon
2
0
W
01.08.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Bumprom
1
1
D
26.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Minsk II
1
2
L
11.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Osipovichy
1
0
W
05.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Lida
0
0
D
27.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Niva
1
3
L
21.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
4
L
13.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
FC Slutsk
0
1
L
06.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Dinamo Minsk II
1
2
L
31.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Ostrovets FC
2
3
L
23.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Slonim
0
3
L
17.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
BATE II
1
1
D
10.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
3
L
02.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1
0
W
24.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Gomel II
0
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Orsha
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Volna
1
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Smorgon
3
0
W
Last matches: Orsha
21.08.26
1.
Orsha
BATE II
1
2
L
10.08.26
1.
Orsha
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
06.08.26
1.
Orsha
Gomel II
2
1
W
31.07.26
1.
Orsha
Shakhter Soligorsk
3
1
W
25.07.26
1.
Orsha
Volna
1
3
L
11.07.26
1.
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Orsha
Bumprom
3
1
W
28.06.26
1.
Orsha
Minsk II
0
4
L
20.06.26
1.
Orsha
Osipovichy
1
2
L
13.06.26
1.
Orsha
Lida
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Orsha
Niva
1
1
D
30.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
2
L
23.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Orsha
Slonim
0
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Orsha
BATE II
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Orsha
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Orsha
Gomel II
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Orsha
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0
2
L
H2H: Uni Minsk vs Orsha
15.08.26
H2H
Uni Minsk
Orsha
0
0
D
18.04.26
H2H
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
13.09.25
H2H
Orsha
Uni Minsk
0
3
W
10.05.25
H2H
Uni Minsk
Orsha
0
1
L
Last matches: Uni Minsk
05.08.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Smorgon
2
0
W
01.08.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Bumprom
1
1
D
11.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Osipovichy
1
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Niva
1
3
L
13.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
FC Slutsk
0
1
L
17.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
BATE II
1
1
D
24.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Gomel II
0
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Volna
1
0
W
H2H at home: Uni Minsk
15.08.26
H2H
Uni Minsk
Orsha
0
0
D
10.05.25
H2H
Uni Minsk
Orsha
0
1
L
Last matches: Orsha
25.07.26
1.
Orsha
Volna
1
3
L
04.07.26
1.
Orsha
Bumprom
3
1
W
20.06.26
1.
Orsha
Osipovichy
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Orsha
Niva
1
1
D
23.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Orsha
BATE II
2
1
W
11.04.26
1.
Orsha
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Orsha
Gomel II
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Orsha
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Orsha
Naftan
0
3
L
H2H away: Orsha
15.08.26
H2H
Uni Minsk
Orsha
0
0
D
10.05.25
H2H
Uni Minsk
Orsha
0
1
W