MEXICO LIGA MX
27.09.2026 18:00
Estadio Olímpico Universitario

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 59.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
59.8%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win 40.9%
Draw 18.9%
Atletico San Luis Win 40.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.3
Atletico San Luis1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
WWDLW
17 GF / 18 GA
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
WLDWL
26 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
10
4.27
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 13 matches
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 14 matches
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Statistic Atletico San Luis
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 4
17 Goals For 26
18 Goals Against 18
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
6 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
4.27 Shots On Goal 4
13 Total Shots 12.44
4.55 Corners 2.89
47% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Atletico San Luis in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico San Luis having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico San Luis. Atletico San Luis arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. U.N.A.M. - Pumas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 11 points compared to Atletico San Luis in 16 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Analysis

From their first 8 matches, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have collected 11 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 11:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Juninho (4 goals), R. Morales (2 goals), P. Vite (1 goals), with creative support from R. Morales (3 assists), R. López (2 assists), P. Vite (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico San Luis Analysis

Atletico San Luis sit 16 with 6 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 8:15, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Rafa Llorente (3 goals), D. Rodríguez (2 goals), Ó. Macías (1 goals), with creative support from L. Flores (2 assists), D. Rodríguez (1 assists), Ó. Macías (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 9 times, Atletico San Luis won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:18 from U.N.A.M. - Pumas's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.1%)
Predicted formations: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-4-2-1 / Atletico San Luis 5-4-1
H2H summary: U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins 9, draws 1, Atletico San Luis wins 5

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 18:6 12 19
W W W W D
2 9 5 3 1 17:8 9 18
D W W D W
3 8 5 2 1 17:8 9 17
D L W W W
4 9 5 0 4 16:15 1 15
L W W W L
5 9 4 2 3 11:11 0 14
D L W L W
6 9 4 2 3 13:15 -2 14
D L D L W
7 8 4 1 3 14:10 4 13
W D L L W
8 7 4 1 2 10:7 3 13
W W L D W
10 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
L W L W D
11 9 3 3 3 12:13 -1 12
D L W L D
12 8 3 2 3 13:8 5 11
W W D D L
13 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
W L L W D
14 9 1 5 3 8:13 -5 8
D L D D L
15 9 2 2 5 10:16 -6 8
L L D L D
16 9 1 4 4 9:13 -4 7
L D D D W
17 8 1 1 6 6:13 -7 4
W L D L L
18 9 1 0 8 6:23 -17 3
W L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)