TURKEY 1. LIG
12.09.2026 17:00
Ümraniyespor
Match Timeline
Antalyaspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
Melih Bostan · Assist: Muhammet Tunahan Tasci
Ümraniyespor
🔄
45'
Ensar Tivsiz ↔ Ramzi Safuri
Antalyaspor
🔄
56'
Muhammet Tunahan Tasci ↔ Toheeb Adeola Kosoko
Ümraniyespor
🔄
56'
Melih Bostan ↔ Alejandro Blanco
Ümraniyespor
🔄
64'
Soner Dikmen ↔ Mevlüt Şimşek
Antalyaspor
🔄
64'
Doğukan Sinik ↔ Hasan Yakub İlçin
Antalyaspor
73'
Güray Vural · Assist: Nuno Da Costa
Antalyaspor
🔄
73'
Santeri Hostikka ↔ Bengali-Fodé Koita
Ümraniyespor
🔄
73'
Kerem Sen ↔ Atalay Babacan
Ümraniyespor
🟨
77'
Bengali-Fodé Koita
Ümraniyespor
🔄
80'
Serkan Göksu ↔ Yusuf Deniz Şaş
Ümraniyespor
🟨
83'
Mevlüt Şimşek
Antalyaspor
🟨
85'
Berat Yılmaz
Ümraniyespor
🟨
87'
F. Nzaba
Antalyaspor
🔄
87'
Pedrinho ↔ Samet Yalcin
Antalyaspor
90+3'
Güray Vural
Antalyaspor
🔄
90+6'
Sander van de Streek ↔ Veysel Sarı
Antalyaspor

Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
81.9%
1.36
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.93
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.6%
1.40
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Ümraniyespor Win 18.2%
Draw 34.3%
Antalyaspor Win 47.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ümraniyespor1.17
Antalyaspor1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor
WWDLW
5 GF / 12 GA
Antalyaspor Antalyaspor
WLDWL
11 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
4
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
4.67
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 7 matches
Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 7 matches
Ümraniyespor Statistic Antalyaspor
0 Wins 3
3 Draws 0
4 Losses 4
5 Goals For 11
12 Goals Against 13
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
4 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
4.67 Shots On Goal 3
13 Total Shots 11
4.67 Corners 4.83
52.7% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ümraniyespor expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Antalyaspor in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Antalyaspor having the stronger overall control. Antalyaspor arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Antalyaspor. Antalyaspor carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 6 points while Ümraniyespor sit 17 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ümraniyespor Analysis

Ümraniyespor sit 17 with 3 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 4:6 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Álex Blanco (1 goals), with creative support from Serkan Göksu (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Antalyaspor Analysis

With 6 points from 5 games and a place of 12, Antalyaspor still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 8:10 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mevlut Şimşek (2 goals), Ensar Bugra Tivsiz (1 goals), Ramzi Safouri (1 goals), with creative support from Sander van de Streek (1 assists), Yohan Boli (1 assists), Güray Vural (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Ümraniyespor won 0 times, Antalyaspor won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Ümraniyespor's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (81.9%)
Predicted formations: Ümraniyespor 4-3-3 / Antalyaspor 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ümraniyespor wins 0, draws 1, Antalyaspor wins 2

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 14:6 8 16
D W W W L
2 7 5 1 1 14:11 3 16
L W W W W
3 7 5 0 2 10:5 5 15
W W W W L
4 6 4 1 1 10:3 7 13
W D L W W
5 7 3 3 1 16:9 7 12
D W W D D
6 7 3 3 1 9:4 5 12
L W D D W
7 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
D L W W L
8 7 2 4 1 12:4 8 10
D W L D D
9 7 2 4 1 6:5 1 10
D D W W D
10 7 2 3 2 12:11 1 9
D L L D D
11 7 2 3 2 10:11 -1 9
D L D D W
12 7 3 0 4 11:13 -2 9
W L W L L
13 7 2 3 2 9:12 -3 9
D W L D W
14 7 1 4 2 6:5 1 7
W L D D D
15 7 1 4 2 8:10 -2 7
D W D L D
16 7 1 3 3 8:14 -6 6
D D L D W
17 7 0 5 2 4:8 -4 5
D L D L D
18 7 0 3 4 5:9 -4 3
L L L D D
19 6 0 2 4 6:15 -9 2
L L D L D
20 7 0 1 6 2:18 -16 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation